Saturday Double Play (35-15 YTD)

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35-15 (70%) thru 50 plays to start the season.

ARI @ COL over 11.5 (double play, 2-0 ytd)

Wright is 3-0 'over' at home this year, allowing 22 ER in 15.2 IP. He walked at least 4 batters in 4 out of his last six starts and Arizona is just the kind of team that should take advantage of his control problems at they lead the league in walks so far this season. Webb will face Colorado for the third time this year, and second time at Coors field, and I doubt he will be just as good as he was in previous two starts. You can pitch well once over there, but two times in the same season...that's another story. Just ask Halsey who got hammered on Friday. Webb has a history of good starts vs Colorado early on, as he allowed 4 ER in 21 IP (1.71 ERA) vs the Rockies in his first starts against them in recent years (Colorado scoring 3.66 rpg on average) but he also tends to be less successifull after that, as his ERA goes to 3.79 in his second and 6.51 in third starts vs the Rockies. This year he faced two teams at least twice, and he allowed 3 ER in 16 IP the first time he faced them and 7 ER in 12 IP the second time he faced them. Obviously it takes some time to figure Webb out, but once the teams do that, he is very hittable. Cooper will be the HPU and he is a 55% 'over' ump in last 3+ years and this year he is one of the leaders in terms of 20+ hits games. There were at least 20 hits in 5 of 7 games he umped and if this trend continues, the over should prevail, as Arizona and Colorado have a combined 21-4 'over' record in games with more than 20 hits this season. Finally, both bullpens have been hit pretty hard in HTH meetings this season. In last 6 HTH games, these two bullpens allowed 30 ER (32 total runs) in 29.2 IP, for a 9.10 ERA. The # 3 batting average team and the # 1 walking team, should provide us another high scoring game in #1 ballpark in OPS and runs scored.

More plays tomorrow.


WS


WS
 

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CIN @ PHI over 9.5

I like to fade starting pitchers coming off of their best starts of the season, and in this game, we have both starters in that spot. Both starters are also coming of of their longest starts of the season, in terms of pitches thrown (Wolf 106, Harang 115) and they had no extra days of rest after those starts. I guess that Harang is not pleased to go on the road, where he allowed 11 ER in 17 IP ytd, after two great home starts where he allowed 3 ER in 15 IP. The same is true for Wolf, who allowed only 5 ER / 14 IP in last two starts, both on the road, as he has to pitch at home now, where he allowed 10 ER in 19 IP ytd, including three home runs in his last home start (and his home run weakness should be exploited by Cincy's lineup today). Philly's stadium has been a hitter friendly ballpark so far and it can only help us, the 'over' bettors (top 5 on my list, since last year). Both bullpens have been weak since the start of the season and they are ranked #26 and #29 in ERA, #29 and #30 in opp. batting average, tied for #29 in HR allowed, and both pens should spend at least 2-3 innings in this game, as Harang averages under 6 innings pitched on the road and Wolf just over 6 inning pitched at home. The linemakers expect a high scoring game here, as evidenced by a 9.5 total set for this game (with the over being heavily favored), as this total is the highest for both pitchers in a while, despite their solid outings recently. In first two hth matchups this season, these two teams averaged 13 rpg and 21 hpg and the only starter to go 7 innings was Myers (yesterday) as he is a K's specialist and his strong game was expected vs a Cincy lineup that leads the majors in K's. This one should go into double digits.


More later,



WS
 

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You are welcome SB. Time to go on a nice run. I was shocked to see ATL and LAD hitting two grand slams in the eigth inning last night to kill my under and my winning day, but stranger things have happened and that's why we call this 'gambling'. Sometimes those breaks go in our favor too, so we should never complain. Good luck today.

WS
 

low country boiler
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WinningSystems said:
You are welcome SB. Time to go on a nice run. I was shocked to see ATL and LAD hitting two grand slams in the eigth inning last night to kill my under and my winning day, but stranger things have happened and that's why we call this 'gambling'. Sometimes those breaks go in our favor too, so we should never complain. Good luck today.

WS


damn, two grand salamis in the eighth. :monsters- that hurts....and my Bravos lost too. arghhh... lol
 

Dr. Is IN
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Ws

One winner already in the books Cin/Phi flies over...keep it going WS...don't wanna mention the other play yet...but good luck on all your future plays...you rock
 

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thanks for the write ups....

awesome record........ especially given the sample size....

appreciated....:digit:
 

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Thanks for your support guys. I appreciate it.

2-0 today. 37-15 ytd (3-0 double plays).

I have 4 plays for tomorrow and I will post them shortly.


Good luck all,


WS
 

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