Man I really hate starting new threads to "hype" plays like this. It's usually been terrible luck for me. But I felt some people might want to talk about this game in it's own thread.
I put roughly 8% of my bankroll on this play. 8 units.
Basically 2 starters that havn't pitched in awhile getting thrown into the fire of the 3rd game of a split series against 2 offensive clubs that can put up runs. 1st game went 10 runs, 2nd game went 12. Now we get two rusty pitchers getting thrown into the fire, throwing in broad daylight where hitters are able to pick up spin and rotation of the ball out of the hand a lot better in the sun without light shadows.
Wells has been out for awhile with a foot injury. If it's still sore at all he's going to have some tenderness landing on it which can cause some balls to be up in the zone. Aside from all of that, the guy hasn't pitched in over a month. Chances are he's not going to come and jump right back in the mix and be crisp, especially at his age.
He's opposed by Oakland's Etherton who is making his 1st start since 2003. His first big league assignment in over a year is just the World Champion Red Sox in the rubber match of a 3-game set. I think one of these teams could approach going over the total on their own.
Let's hope so. If anyone agrees with this pick I encourage you to use proper judgement in units. I am putting 8% of my bankroll on this game, not 25%. Any other thoughts on the game are welcome? Any trends I'm missing? Any reason NOT to bet this? Best of luck with whatever you decide.
I put roughly 8% of my bankroll on this play. 8 units.
Basically 2 starters that havn't pitched in awhile getting thrown into the fire of the 3rd game of a split series against 2 offensive clubs that can put up runs. 1st game went 10 runs, 2nd game went 12. Now we get two rusty pitchers getting thrown into the fire, throwing in broad daylight where hitters are able to pick up spin and rotation of the ball out of the hand a lot better in the sun without light shadows.
Wells has been out for awhile with a foot injury. If it's still sore at all he's going to have some tenderness landing on it which can cause some balls to be up in the zone. Aside from all of that, the guy hasn't pitched in over a month. Chances are he's not going to come and jump right back in the mix and be crisp, especially at his age.
He's opposed by Oakland's Etherton who is making his 1st start since 2003. His first big league assignment in over a year is just the World Champion Red Sox in the rubber match of a 3-game set. I think one of these teams could approach going over the total on their own.
Let's hope so. If anyone agrees with this pick I encourage you to use proper judgement in units. I am putting 8% of my bankroll on this game, not 25%. Any other thoughts on the game are welcome? Any trends I'm missing? Any reason NOT to bet this? Best of luck with whatever you decide.