MLB -1.5 Run Question

LEYKIS101 · May 22, 2005

I know several out there have MLB databases. What is the approx. % of a -180 favorite winning by exactly 1 run? I'm toying with the idea of laying STL and taking back KC at +1.5. Right now its 65 cents juice to do the play. I've read in an older book on MLB it's profitable to lay up to 90 cents in this situation.

Any reponse would be appreciated.

RPM · May 22, 2005

i believe thats called a polish middle. they used to discuss it in the handicapping forum. i think it was mixed results on whether it was profitable or not.

LEYKIS101 · May 22, 2005

I always thought a Polish middle was one where you could lose both sides, but stood to make profit if certain #'s didn't hit.

I tried the middle anyway, seems like a decent shot to me.

Good luck on your plays today RPM.