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Marlins (-154).This is pushing the limit of what Ill lay on a game but.....

Im really surprised this line isnt a little higher.I know the Phils have a couple of the hottest hitter in the NL right now but this is Willis at home.Hes 7-1 overall w/ 1.71 era and at home hes 5-0 w/ an era of .690.In his career hes 4-1 vs PHI w/ and era 2.24 (whip 1.011).In night games this year hes 5-1.The BP at home for the Marlins so far this year have an era 1.34 in 61 ip.Not to mention the defense has only committed 8 errors in 22 games at home.Only avg 4.4 runs in Miami the Marlins are only allowing 2.5 rpg.In the last 3 years at home FLA is 16-6 vs PHI.Marlins are 14-8 at home this year.
PHI is hitting over .300 (vs LHP and RHP alike) as a team over the last 10 games which is scary but Lieber has been shaky lately.Hes let up 6 ERs in each of his L2 starts,PHI is 1-4 in his L5 starts, and he's 0-3 so far this year in night games.Phillies are only 10-14 on the road are avg. only 3.8 rpg.Their BP is also suspect with an era of 6.22 on the season.
PHI was shutout just a few days ago by Bedard,why shouldnt Willis have the same success?Seems like a good line for a really good pitcher.

BOL.
 

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