Which line would you take?

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International Playa
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In the Mariners game tonight, assuming you liked the OVER?

9.5 +100

10 +130

in the tracking forum i took the OVER 9.5 but actually ended up playing the 10 +130 which to me is MUCH better.

Had it been a switch from 10 to 10.5 then I would have gone with the +100.....
 

International Playa
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rchrdschn said:
Over 10, I could live with the push if the game lands on 10.

my thoughts here strictly due to the 130, besides i figured i like the over, not cause i think they are going to score 10 runs but because i expect alot of runs....
 

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It's worth the extra 1/2 run to get another +30 if you think it's going over.
 

International Playa
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actually you were cheering for me to push, not as bad as cheering for me to lose!
 

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When playing OVER

9' +100 offers less value than 10 +130'




Doesn't the profit on a half point (Totals) jump midway between 20 and 25 cents?


:digit:
 

Rx God
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Here's a rough guide;

25 cents off of odd totals like 7 and 9

15 cents off of even totals like 8 and 10

Study Pinny's options, but you need an account and must log-in to see lines on alternate totals.
 

International Playa
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we're all wrong.....the correct answer is, you take the under......
 

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I have results somewhere, but basically 7 & 9 is maybe worth 13 cents. All other numbers worth less than a dime.


I know books charge more and people will say they are worth more. But like the -3 line in football, results speak for themselves. While it isn't as fine a determination, it is one that can be determined through results.

Again I am only looking at my sources and the pushes they had. Not factoring those places that had 8.5/9.5 or 7.5/6.5 respectively. The reason it is worth less in my book is because a push isn't a loss. so all pushes carry less weight than buying off and getting a win.
 

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