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W-R-X Champion
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<CENTER>Now, here are more reasons why baseball can be beaten.

Let's look at the structure of the baseball season and how it unfolds.


</CENTER>APRIL -- This month offers perhaps the best time of the season to cash in on Underdogs. Teams that will often be favored by -140 in July are often priced as +140 Underdogs in April. Here's where our offseason work and Spring Training analysis of how each team has changed and whether or not the players who remain are on the decline or ready to improve really pays off. Early season lines are generally based on perceptions from the prior season. Yet each season there are a handful of teams that will be dramatically different from the season before -- both winning teams and losing teams. The public will be slow to catch on to these changes so in April we can find many bargains by playing on undervalued Underdogs and by playing against overrated Favorites.

MAY -- As the season enters its second month the linesmaker has started to catch up with the teams that are extremely hot or cold out of the gate. But not all of those teams will continue in what seems to be a dramatic direction. Here, once again, our work during the off-season and Spring Training pays huge dividends by enabling us to determine which teams are truly vastly improved or worsented versus which teams are just off to hot or cold starts and are likely to reverse direction and perform more according to expectations. This 'lag time' between the start of the season and the time when many teams truly establish their identity for the current season allows us to take advantage of streaks and often finds us backing certain small favorites and certain small underdogs.

JUNE through AUGUST -- This is the most formful part of the season. All teams are still contending for the Playoffs or, if they have struggled in the first two months, still have plenty of time to go on a run and get back into the race. It is during this part of the season that the Parlay technique discussed above is most effective. By June we have pretty much been able to determine which of the early surprise teams are 'for real' and which have started to fade. Injuries have also begun to take a toll and a team's depth or lack thereof comes strongly into play. The nature of the injuries, be they to everyday players, starting pitchers or members of the bullpen, dictate the effect on Over/Under plays as well.

SEPTEMBER -- This is the time to exercise great caution, especially since many teams are out of contention and are just playing out the string, bringing up untested minor leaguers when the roster expands from 25 to 40 on September 1. The contending teams are usually priced as prohibitive favorites, making them difficult to back even in Parlays. Many of the best plays in September are found in games between non-contenders which tend to be more competitively priced. There are also situations involving up and coming starting pitchers, even against the contenders, that often provide nice payouts on huge underdogs that while out of contention will play hard for their young 'phenom' who takes the hill and requires confidence from a team supporting him with their best efforts despite not heading for post-season play. Of course, competitively priced games between contending teams also gives us opportunities to pick out solid situations for both Side and Total plays.

PLAYOFFS and WORLD SERIES -- The best part of the baseball season is when everything is on the line. There are few bargains in the Playoffs and World Series since the entire world knows almost everything about the competing teams. But there are tried and true patterns and situations that develop which, combined with current form and quality of the pitching matchup, can lead to profitable post-season play on both a game to game basis and in making futures plays using the revised odds that are posted before each round of post-season play begins.
 

Rx Post Doc
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Well, who is off to the fool's gold start and who is off to a misleading bad start? That is the trick here. Washington Nationals, anyone? Of course, the Yankees have already turned their frowns into smiles, so that one is too late. Hmmmm. tulsa

Cubbies on the misleading bad start? I don't think so, but?
 

W-R-X Champion
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Even good teams that are not a surprise have decent lines still. They will just get more expensive at the season goes.
 

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