Craziest Line I Think I've Ever Seen

Pinnacle and 5 Dimes both put up some wild lines but this one at Pinnacle has me wondering if a line can be placed on anything. From the National Spelling Bee:

<TABLE id=tblPropFut onmouseover="changeto(event, '#F6C88F')" onmouseout="changeback(event, '#EEEEEE')" cellSpacing=3 cellPadding=0 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR id=ignore><TD class=contestRow vAlign=top width="15%" bgColor=#8fbdf6>Wed 6/1</TD><TD class=contestRow bgColor=#8fbdf6 colSpan=2>Will winning word contain an 'e' ?
</TD></TR><TR class=normalRow bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk width="15%">05:00 AM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk width=auto>13 Yes</TD><TD class=main_body_blk width="25%"> -184</TD></TR><TR class=hiliteRow bgColor=#eeeeee><TD width="15%"> </TD><TD class=main_body_blk width=auto>14 No</TD><TD class=main_body_blk width="25%"> +174</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Any spelling experts out there?

Im no expert but on Wheel of Fortune at the end the one vowel thew always choose is E!

arty:

E is the most popular letter in the english language I do baliyve.


-F-

Notice that 11 of the last 15 contained the letter 'e'. Given that, we have 73% of the last fifteen were with 'e'. (not a large sample, I know.)

The line you have of -1.84 corresponds to a 65% chance of winning the prop "Winning word has e." I'm not sure what the entire history is, but given the last fifteen years, you have value by taking the prop that the final word has the letter 'e.' in it. tulsa



winner, sponser and word
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 align=center border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD colSpan=3 height=25> </TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]1990[/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25></TD><TD width=503 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Amy Marie Dimak, The Seattle Times, Seattle, Washington[/font]</TD><TD width=156 height=25></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD colSpan=3 height=25> </TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]1991[/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25></TD><TD width=503 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Joanne Lagatta, The Wisconsin State Journal, Madison, Wisconsin [/font]</TD><TD width=156 height=25></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD colSpan=3 height=25> </TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]1992[/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25></TD><TD width=503 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Amanda Goad, The Richmond News Leader, Richmond, Virginia [/font]</TD><TD width=156 height=25></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD colSpan=3 height=25> </TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]1993[/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25></TD><TD width=503 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Geoff Hooper, The Commercial Appeal, Memphis, Tennessee [/font]</TD><TD width=156 height=25></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD colSpan=3 height=25> </TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]1994[/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25></TD><TD width=503 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Ned G. Andrews, The Knoxville News-Sentinel, Knoxville, Tennessee[/font]</TD><TD width=156 height=25></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD colSpan=3 height=25> </TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]1995[/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25></TD><TD width=503 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Justin Tyler Carroll, The Commercial Appeal, Memphis, Tennessee [/font]</TD><TD width=156 height=25></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD colSpan=3 height=25> </TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]1996[/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25></TD><TD width=503 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Wendy Guey, The Palm Beach Post, West Palm Beach, Florida [/font]</TD><TD width=156 height=25></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD colSpan=3 height=25> </TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]1997[/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25></TD><TD width=503 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Rebecca Sealfon, Daily News, New York, New York[/font]</TD><TD width=156 height=25></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD colSpan=3 height=25> </TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]1998[/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25></TD><TD width=503 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Jody-Anne Maxwell, Phillips & Phillips Stationery Suppliers, Ltd., Kingston, Jamaica[/font]</TD><TD width=156 height=25></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD colSpan=3 height=25> </TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]1999[/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25></TD><TD width=503 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Nupur Lala, The Tampa Tribune, Tampa, Florida[/font]</TD><TD width=156 height=25></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD colSpan=3 height=25> </TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]2000[/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25></TD><TD width=503 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]George Abraham Thampy, St. Louis Post-Dispatch, St. Louis, Missouri[/font]</TD><TD width=156 height=25></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD colSpan=3 height=25> </TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]2001[/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25></TD><TD width=503 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Sean Conley, Aitkin Independent Age, Aitkin, Minnesota[/font]</TD><TD width=156 height=25></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD colSpan=3 height=25> </TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]2002[/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25></TD><TD width=503 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Pratyush Buddiga, Rocky Mountain News, Denver, Colorado[/font]</TD><TD width=156 height=25></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD colSpan=3 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]2003[/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][/font]</TD><TD width=503 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Sai R. Gunturi, The Dallas Morning News, Dallas, Texas[/font]</TD><TD width=156 height=25></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD colSpan=3 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]2004[/font]</TD><TD width=39 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][/font]</TD><TD width=503 height=25>[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]David Scott Pilarski Tidmarsh, South Bend Tribune, South Bend, Indiana[/font]</TD><TD width=156 height=25></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Actually

Actually, I miscounted: 12 of the last fifteen had the letter, 'e.'

So, 80% of the last fifteen winning words had 'e' making that -1.84 line even mo' better. tulsa

i am playing the No for the limit. Line seems way too short for the "Yes" to take the money.....

thank you tulsa, I just hit the yes

from Tulsas data, 5 boys in a row have won, but 4 girls in a row before that. over the whole thing its 8 boys and 7 girls.

just hit " girl to win" at +171 based on this.

I hit on a website that lists winners back to 1925. 44 girls have won, 35 boys. makes sense since girls are better students.

girl to win is still +162 :monsters-

hit it!

also take under 9.5 letters, should be favored too, is a dog.

I dumped my "e" bet and took the other side +199. it should be at about -175 on the yes.



:money8:

girl to win is still +144. it should be -125.


lets bang this out already people I am maxed out here.

you wont find any baseball teams tomorrow at +144 who ought to be -125



:awesom:

You have to remember this is a spelling bee. That means that the last word in the competion is going to be a longgggggggggggggggggg word. They are not going to ask the contestant to spell the word cat in the championship round. I believe the winning word will contain at least 15 letters. So the odds of the letter e not being in a 15 letter word is almost nill. The smart money will be on Yes.

going back to 1925, under 9.5 letters is 45 wins and 35 losses.

under 9.5 should be -125

its still +118.

+118= good bet


:howdy:

E in the final word was 51 yes, 29 no

.6375 chance on yes= -175

Great thread.

I haven't looked at the contestants, but from the lines posted
I suspect the boys may have a "ringer" this year. Anyone know?

Anybody else go 0-3

Thirteen-year-old Anurag Kashyap of California was the last of the more than 273 competitors still standing Thursday.

The eighth-grader burst into tears and said he felt “pure happiness” after spelling the musical term “appoggiatura” correctly to win the annual spelling bee.

His name could have been one of the words !