My One Play for Tuesday

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Sep 21, 2004
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YTD Posted Record:

152-128 (+23.77)

record is better for sides than totals (-6.14 for totals)/(+29.92 for sides)

decided to back off the number of games, only going with one play today..

1. Yankees (-1.59) 2 units/listed at pinnacle..

Reasons:

1. Yankees 27-23/Royals 13-37
2. Power ratings: Huge mismatch for yanks (Royals last)
3. Yanks 6-4 (L10)/Royals 2-8 (L10)
4. Yanks 11-10 road/Royals 7-17 Home.
5. Yanks 5-1 (2004 series)
6. Brown vs. Greinke/ 2 pitchers moving in opposite directions.

Brown 4 wins in a row, allowing only 6 earned runs in those games.. Greinke giving up 10 runs in last 2 games.. Greinke gets 2.1 run support per game...

Yankee offense much better in this one.. Look for Arod and Sheffield to have big games.. The (-1.59) is not too big a price to lay in this mismatch... Yankees may also have a little egg on their face after the last 2 games against boston.. Getting out of Yankee stadium and facing the Royals -- should get the Yanks back on track.. They were really playing well, at the conclusion of their last road trip..
 

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