Humpday ball

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season record : 140-129 +10.06 units

3 units... Atlanta -142 (Smoltz vs Armas) Braves are due for a big win and I think they get this one today and break up the sweep. Smoltz pitching much better than Armas to this point..

2 units... Florida -122 (Moehler vs Fogg) Another team trying to avoid the sweep,, Moehler has pitched very well this season, I'll side with them here.

3 units... St.Louis -149 (Morris vs Kennedy) Cards bats are due for a breakout game.. Morris pitching well while Kennedy has had a real tough time pitching at home this year..Cards due for a big win

2 units... New York Yankees -1.5 -132 (Johnson vs Carrasco) Not much to say here, Yanks coming off a loss yesterday,, expect them to bounce bag big here today..

1 unit... Boston -1 -109 (Wakefield vs Ponson) I think the Sox bats are gonna light Sidney Ponson up here, he is a very inconsistent pitcher and more often then not having bad outings this season

1 unit... Milwaukee +122 (Davis vs Lawrence) Good value play here as Davis has been pitching lights out of late,, Lawrence tends to be a little more on the inconsistent side,, gonna side with the dog here.

1 unit.... Cleveland +122 (Lee vs Radke) Same as above ,, Lee pitching very well and to get him as a dog you have to jump on it...

1 unit... Toronto +106 (Chacin vs Meche) The Blue Jays are just a flatout better team then the Mariners to this point this season, they are hitting better and getting much better starting pitching. The Mariners have an average pitcher in Meche taking the mound who has struggled somewhat in his career against the Jays, while the M's have to face rookie sensation Chacin (5-3 3.34 ERA) coming off his last start when he shut down the Red Sox. I'll take the Jays as a slight dog here.
 

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funny facts about marlins trying to avoid the sweep this year.


vs nym scored 6 in game 4, while scoring only 5 runs (combined) in first three games of the series.

vs sd scored 4 in game 3, while scoring only 3 runs (combined) in first two games of the series.

vs nym scored 5 in game 3, while scoring only 3 runs (combined) in first two games of the series.


so, when trying to avoid the sweep this season, they scored 15 runs in three games, while scoring only 11 runs in 7 previous games.


with moehler pitching for florida (he should allow at least 2-3 runs on the ROAD), foggs recent struggles (9 runs in 10 innings - last 2 starts) and garry cederstrom on the mound (averages over 10 runs per game year after year), i think these two teams should score at least 10.

good luck today !!!!
 

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