Bonus MLB Pick for June 7, 2005

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<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=left bgColor=#ffffff height=18>Bonus MLB Pick for June 7, 2005 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD colSpan=3 height=5>
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</TD></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD align=left>Seattle at Florida Under 9 -110

This is about as straightforward as it gets. We have two teams that have trended markedly towards the ‘Under” this season, along with two ‘Under” hurlers taking the mound in an extremely “pitcher friendly” ballpark. This is not to mention the lights out numbers out of the pen each of these teams possess.

For their part, Seattle comes in at 19-33 (o/u) for the season, including 8-15 (o/u) when on the road. More specifically, the Mariners are a mind-blowing 5-18 (o/u) vs. teams with a winning record, 8-21 (o/u) when priced as an underdog and 3-11 (o/u) as a road dog. This is not to mention the M’s are 0-3 (o/u) in inter-league play this year and a head scratching 5-15 (o/u) their past twenty in inter-league play.

The fact Seattle is throwing out Franklin only strengthens our argument. Despite his mediocre numbers, Franklin is actually 2-7 (o/u) for the year, including 1-3 (o/u) on the road and a staggering 0-7 (o/u) when priced as an underdog. Dating back further, Franklin is 12-28 (o/u) his past forty starts overall and 11-24 (o/u) his past thirty-five road starts. And if Franklin should stumble, Seattle’s incredible 3.04 road bullpen ERA and 81 percent save percentage will undoubtedly come in handy.

Meanwhile, Florida enters at 25-26 (o/u) for the season and 11-18 (o/u) when at home. The Marlins, in fact, have been a money-in-the-bank ‘Under’ bet at Pro Player Stadium for the past several years. Consider that in 2002, the average runs per-game at Pro Player Stadium was third lowest in baseball at 8.31 per contest. In 2003, FLA home games produced the second lowest amount of runs at 8.27 per contest.

As it pertains to this season, Florida’s home games are producing just 7.53 runs per tilt. This actually places Pro Player as the lowest scoring ballpark in the majors. Note also that the Marlins are now 7-18 (o/u) when priced as a home favorite this year. Oh … and did we mention that Florida’s starter, Moehler, boasts a scorching 2.59 ERA on the season and that the Marlins bullpen has been lights out at home with a 2.83 ERA? Easy call to play ‘Under’ here!
William foote
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