Super Regional College Plays

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UF. Champion U.
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Lines are now up at Pinnacle. Pinnacle does not have series prices though, just individual games and no prop bets. Olympic has the series prices and prop bets.
I talked most of these plays over out of the rx with Winky, and we agreed on most of these, if not all of them, before we even said anything to each other. Use caution when betting these plays, and let's contunue to break the bank.

Lock of the Millenium #7 (Locks of the Millenium are 6-0)
Cal State Fullerton -330 (Series) (Olympic)

5* Miami +121 (Game 1) (Pinnacle)
5* Ole Miss -120 (Series) (Olympic)
4* Tennesee +103 (Game 1) (Pinnacle)
3* Prop Bet Matt LaPorta (Gators) more total bases than Ryne Malone (Seminoles)
2* Miami +120 (Series)
1* Tennesee +165 (Series)

More plays may be added later, but these are the strongest plays thus far.
 

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I just went to Olympic and dont see the series prices. Can you tell me where to find them?

Does BOS have series prices too?

Thanks.
 

I am sorry for using the "R" word - and NOTHING EL
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choptalk said:
I just went to Olympic and dont see the series prices. Can you tell me where to find them?

Does BOS have series prices too?

Thanks.

look below the main BB page - BB props
 

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UF. Champion U.
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My leans differ from Winky's on a couple of games. And I saw he posted leans, and I don't want it to be interpreted that I agreed on every single one. Me and Winky agreed 100% on the plays we posted.

My leans are as follows:

FSU/UF - I seriously have absolutely no lean on this one. The Gators are mentally intimidated by the Seminoles. The Seminoles may choke, but they don't do it against Florida. They took 2 out of 3 from Florida this year, even though they were mid-week games. Florida is a Dr. Jekyll-type team. You might get the team that shows up with 3 solid starters and a sophomore lineup as good as any in the country. Or you may get the team with no lefties in their bullpen, and a sophomore lineup that can act quite sophomore at times and slump. It all depends on which UF team shows up.

Baylor/Clemson - Lean on Clemson. Baylor has not done anything to prove to me that they are legit, and they traditionally aren't an Omaha team. Clemson is. Clemson has had some impressive wins this season, including a 4 game sweep of the Hurricanes in their season series. Baylor sweated out a game in the finals against a 3-seeded Stanford team.

Rice/Tulane - Tulane is not a lock to win this regional. Rice is a very experienced team, they took out LSU in Lousiana last week, and they'll go across the state to New Orleans to do the same to Tulane. Tulane has a couple of studs in their lineup, but this Rice team is the only way I would play this one considering the price. Rice was the national champion 2 years ago, and they expect to go to Omaha year in and year out. Tulane is the #1 seed in the country 1st time in program history, and this one could have upset written all over it.

USC/Oreg State - I am definitely not sold on this Oreg. State team. But I can't bet against them just yet, USC isn't worthy of a play IMO. They may be worthy of a play for Game 1, but def not for the series. I will bet heavily against oregon state in Omaha.

Texas/Mississippi - Texas is not the traditional Texas team from years past. Their pitching is weak, and they rely on 1 or 2 guys in their bullpen. Their hitting is not the same in years past, they are living off of their former reputation. Ole Miss is a program on the up and up. Their whole starting rotation went in the 3rd round, and their lineup has some studs. Couple of Team USA guys on Ole Miss, and their coach knows how to win series. I can see Texas squeeking out a Win somewhere, but they aren't taking 2 out of 3 in Mississippi. Great series play.

Miami/Nebraska - Cesar Carillo is the best pitcher in the country. (By the way, I am considering putting a little bit on him to win the Dick Howser Trophy at +500 on Olympic). The Hurricanes have only lost 1 game that Carillo has APPEARED IN. Not just decisions. Even if Carillo gets a no-decision, the Canes just win. They have tremendous post season experience, they have a mystique, they expect to go to Omaha, and I'm not sold on Nebraska. Carillo should 99% take game 1, and then the Canes just need to win 1 of the next 2. Then Carillo is an UNDERDOG for game 1 somehow, and thats just dumb. Carillo is mentally tough, and a bulldog on the mound mentally. He sits in the low-to-mid 90's.

Tennesee/Ga Tech - Ga Tech is one of the biggest choking teams in the history of college ball. They are ranked top 5 every year, and find a way to blow it. Tennesee should start Hochevar game 1, and he's in a tight battle with Carillo for best pitcher in the country. Hochevar has been dominant all year long. He sits in the low 90's with some great offspeed stuff. Tennessee has won some tough road series this year in the SEC and that prepares them for this series. Tennesee should take game 1 with Hochevar on the mound, and then its the same situation as Miami. Just take 1 of the next 2. Hochevar is also an underdog for game 1, and Tennesee is a big dog for the series.

Cal State Fullerton/Ariz. State - This is lock of the millenium #7. Fullerton had their scare with a tough, tough, tough Arizona squad. The came back and won the next two. State has to come into Fullerton and take 2 out of 3 from the defending champs and Ricky Romero and Sergio Pedroza. Not happening. Fullerton has ended States season the past 2 years, and even the fans on States message boards are saying "Well we had a great year." Fullerton is one of the favorites to repeat as national champions, and they start to get on a roll against a familiar foe they have defeated and eliminated before.

I'm leaving for Vegas today. So, I wont be able to post or answer any questions. Best of luck to everyone.
 

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Rice/Tulane - Tulane is not a lock to win this regional. Rice is a very experienced team, they took out LSU in Lousiana last week, and they'll go across the state to New Orleans to do the same to Tulane. Tulane has a couple of studs in their lineup, but this Rice team is the only way I would play this one considering the price. Rice was the national champion 2 years ago, and they expect to go to Omaha year in and year out. Tulane is the #1 seed in the country 1st time in program history, and this one could have upset written all over it.


Bingo!!!!!!!!!! :money8: :money8: :money8:
 

UF. Champion U.
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Hey Chop,


Prop bets and Series prices are way below on Olympic.

By the way this Matt LaPorta prop bet is gold. He's got the most power of any hitter in the country. He hit 15 jacks last year as a freshman and didnt even start 1/4 of the games last year. He has 23 this year and broke the UF single season homerun record set by Brad Wilkerson. He'll break Wilky's career homerun record next year. He's just a sophomore right now, and gets plenty of respect getting intentionally walked in certain situations. Malone is out of his league. There are no numbers up yet on Oly, but I am assuming this is an even money bet since you can click on and select your hitter. He hits most of his homeruns at UF, the ball just flies out at UF, its a matchbox. He's paired up with Ryne Malone, who will have a tough time against the Gator pitchers. He usually has a tough time against good starters, whereas LaPorta has so much power he can accidentally half swing and still hit it out. LaPorta will be a 1st rounder next year, where Malone might not break the 20th round. Now of course LaPorta could go 0-4, but I'll take my chances...he wins this bet 8 times out of 10. He's had a rough past few weekends, he did have a homerun in the regional last week, and hes starting to heat up.
 

UF. Champion U.
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By the way, Tech should start Neighborgal vs. Hochevar in the Tenn/Ga Tech series. Neighborgal is a great hard-throwing talent. But he's been unsensational this year and very hittable. In one game in particular he went 0.1 IP 6 R 6 ER in his start. He was drafted very high, but it was strictly based on raw tools and talent, and not on results. He has the ABILITY to duel with Hochevar, but Hochevar is so damn dominant on a consistent basis, while Neighborgal is inconsistent. I feel Tech will start Neighborgal game1 to roll the dice. In a way, if he pitches to his ability, hes the only one on the staff that can duel with Hochevar. But if he doesn't, and he pitches inconsistent, it was Tech's way of conceded game 1 to one of the best pitchers in the country. Thats why that is a 4* play for me and not a 5*.
 

That settles it...It's WED/DAY
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Yo Box!!! Have fun in Vegas!!!

When you and I agree on games we are undefeated and we will keep it going. Took Cal State Fullerton in the series. LOVE THIS SERIES. This is as close to easy money as they come in the Super Regionals. Yes it is a steep price to pay but when you get such a mismatch in talent, I am all over it.



That is my one HUGE play for the Super Regionals. Take it and cash. I am looking forward to taking Cal State in Omaha especially if they face a very average Florida State or Florida team.
 

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Outstanding analyses of the games and series, Box. Enjoyed reading your insights very much. Best of luck to you on all your plays.
 

That settles it...It's WED/DAY
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I'll post some of Box's responses since I am his brother and am keeping in touch with him in Vegas.

I am pumped about these Super Regional games and the fact we get to watch them on TV.

Maxed out on Cal State for the series at several books. I have a smaller amount on Tenn. and Miami. G1.

Fla/FSU is a tough one to predict. Florida is very inconsistent. I think Florida wins the series due to a little better and more experienced pitching and Matt Laporta. Florida can be very bad though. They sometimes look like they couldn't hit a beachball, have numerous defensive and base running errors, and lack mental toughness. Actually in all sports Florida seems to be decent during the year but choke at the end when it counts. I believe Florida pulls this series out somehow but it will not be easy and not putting money on it yet.

Good Luck everyone!!! :toast:
 

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Good stuff, but disagree on Rice. They won their 1st ever NCAA champ in any sport, and just are not as good as Tulane. Price however is high.
 

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Thanks for the hard work and all the help. Great writeups Box.
 

That settles it...It's WED/DAY
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I got my top play again 4-0 in College Baseball with CSF coming through again.

Now lets both cash CSF series!!!:dancefool
 

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