SSI's Plays for thursday

SSI · Jun 9, 2005

YTD Posted: 161-141 (+18.91 units)

been away for a few days, glad to see alot of you guys are still winning.. i really prefer to spend my free time (developing systems) these days... Here is one that i have actively bet for the past 7 days (does not count in posted record)..

46-47 (+15.12 units)

Plays for today;

1. Mets -1.5 (+1.51)
2. Wash -1.5 (+1.28)
3. Fla -1.5 (+1.15)
4. Phil-1.5 (+1.56)
5. Cinn-1.5 (+1.54)
6. AZ-1.5 (+1.66)

also on the card today were: sd-1.5 (+1.45) and sf-1.5 (+1.40)

not advising anyone on these and will not be posting them daily, however its merely taking the home team and making them the dog, taking them on the moneyline as a dog first, if they are the favorite (then ill lay the 1.5) and make them a dog.. shooting for a 50/50 record.. first 7 days have produced a record of 46-47 and $1512 worth of profit.. I try and play systems (trends) while they are hot and once they go cold, ill drop them... but in the end: its about the bottom line, if it wins (i play it)...... if it loses (i drop it)..

Listed at pinny (flat bet for 1 unit/ $100)..

LucaBrasi · Jun 9, 2005

ah, the system master.........

SSI · Jun 9, 2005

no master at all, just looking for things that work.. I own my own business and have alot of free time to spend on things like this...

currently also running a system in which i cap 2 games at once,,, and by that i mean capping a teams next 2 games (doesnt matter if its series play or not), capping either totals or sides, this entails a one time double up (if the first game loses)..

example tb/cinn over for the first 2 game of the sereis, thats a winner..

also was running kc/sf over 9.5 today at (+1.05), if that lost i was prepared to double down on kc/az over tomorrow night.. and if that lost, that would be the extent of my doubling..

sorry for rambling but i love the stuff.. good luck on your plays..

SSI · Jun 9, 2005

did you just see hoffman give up that run in the 9th.. thats the dangers of the runline, however if giants can hold on and win by at least 2, ill have what im looking for (1 win and 1 loss, yet $40 profit)..

CHOPTALK · Jun 9, 2005

have you ever thought about trying what you are doing with the -1 lines from pinny? I had SD -1 and got a push.

ChefZekeCreasy · Jun 9, 2005

Good luck today SSI!

"it's a whole lot of fun but a whole lot of work owning your own business....but it's nice to make your own hours sometimes to CAP games and make extra cheeeze..."

WAR EAGLE,
---Chef Zeke---

SSI · Jun 9, 2005

chop, i havent done the research but may look into that one next.. i like the bigger payout, trying to hit .500....

chef, i own a convenience store, the bulk of my work (what i actually do), is done from 4 am until noon, ordering/deposits/dealing with vendors.... then im in and out the rest of the day, mainly "bs" with the customers.. talk sports constantly all day long....

richdude57 · Jun 9, 2005

SSI! GLTU TONIGHT,U KNOW I AM WITH U. :103631605

R U GOING TO DA BASH IN AUG.?

arty: SURE WOULD LIKE TO MEETCHA. THE DUDE

>)~

CHOPTALK · Jun 10, 2005

SSI. Here is the equation from illini. Tell me what you think?

Curt- If you like -1, you can get a better line by betting some on the ML and some -1.5. Pinnacle basically rips you off by about 3 cents on every -1 line. It just takes a little algebra, but it's well worth it. Here is an example.

Pinnacle
White Sox (-132)
White Sox -1.5 (+164)
White Sox -1 (+111)

Instead of betting 100 to win 111 at -1, do this.
Bet $56.90 at -132 to win $43.11
Bet $43.11 at -1.5 (+164) to win $70.70.
If White Sox win by 1, you break even, just like the -1 line.
If they win by 2 or more, you win $113.81 instead of $111.
So, you get almost +114 instead of +111

You just have to know how much to bet on the ML, then bet all the would be profits from that on the -1.5 line. To figure out how much to bet on the ML, just do this.
Take 100/132=.7576
Add 1 = 1.7576
Take 100 and divide by 1.7576.
=56.90

Hope that helps. I love algebra, so let me know if you have any questions.