OK guys, Sunday, June 12th, was my 50th betting/posting day in MLB this year. The record during that 50 days period was 92-54, betting baseball totals only. Starting tomorrow, I will increase my wager size to two units for regular plays, with occasional 3 unit plays. This is something I've been doing for the last three years, and I've been successiful doing it, so why change anything this year. Sometimes in July, I will increase my wager size to three units for regular plays, but more about that when the time for that change comes. Some will probably ask themselves, why the wager size change ? Well, I increase the wager size once I get a better 'feel' for the game. Historically, I've been a lot better with my totals from this point on, and this is a good way to maximize my profits until the end of the season. Another change that you will notice in the next period is a slightly smaller amount of plays. Anyways, this is how I do it, but if you follow my plays, you can just keep the same wager size as before. It is up to you to decide.
Good luck, as always.
WS
Monday Play:
WAS @ LAA under 9
Both teams had to travel across the country (with no day off) for this game, and I expect both lineups to be tired and not 100% focused on this game. The Angels are coming back home after a long 12 games/14 days road trip, and they could also experience a letdown after beating Pedro on Sunday. The Nationals are going on the road after a 13 gms/14 days home stand, that ended with 3 straight sweeps of Seattle, Oakland and Florida. On their first west coast trip of the season, the Nationals went 7-2 to the under, and they starterd that trip with three straight unders. As for the Angels, their home comings have been marked with unders in all three occasions this year. First time they came back home after a long trip, they had three straight unders, second time they opened the home stand with 2 straight unders, and third time they needed 5 games to finally go over the total in a game. They are also 8-1 to the under in 9 home series openers this year. Both teams are facing starters that they haven't seen this year. Both Loaiza and Byrd have been very solid recently. Loaiza has put together three solid starts in last three games and 8 of last 9. Byrd has been solid in 7 of his last 8 starts. Loaiza is perfect 7-0 to the under on the road this year and he also pitched well on the west coast earlier this year. Both pens are very good, both probably top 5 in my book. This one should stay under 9 runs.
WS
Good luck, as always.
WS
Monday Play:
WAS @ LAA under 9
Both teams had to travel across the country (with no day off) for this game, and I expect both lineups to be tired and not 100% focused on this game. The Angels are coming back home after a long 12 games/14 days road trip, and they could also experience a letdown after beating Pedro on Sunday. The Nationals are going on the road after a 13 gms/14 days home stand, that ended with 3 straight sweeps of Seattle, Oakland and Florida. On their first west coast trip of the season, the Nationals went 7-2 to the under, and they starterd that trip with three straight unders. As for the Angels, their home comings have been marked with unders in all three occasions this year. First time they came back home after a long trip, they had three straight unders, second time they opened the home stand with 2 straight unders, and third time they needed 5 games to finally go over the total in a game. They are also 8-1 to the under in 9 home series openers this year. Both teams are facing starters that they haven't seen this year. Both Loaiza and Byrd have been very solid recently. Loaiza has put together three solid starts in last three games and 8 of last 9. Byrd has been solid in 7 of his last 8 starts. Loaiza is perfect 7-0 to the under on the road this year and he also pitched well on the west coast earlier this year. Both pens are very good, both probably top 5 in my book. This one should stay under 9 runs.
WS