i look for a small priced road dog because what that tells me is the dog is probably the better team. a 2-point NFL dog tells me w/o HFA the dog would be favored at home or on a neutral field
also - for me - dog in football getting LESS than +3 i M/L them 100% of the time. odds are a +2 dog is NOT going to cover ATS unless they win SU so why not take the extra $.25ish in MY pocket
also - for me - dog in football getting LESS than +3 i M/L them 100% of the time. odds are a +2 dog is NOT going to cover ATS unless they win SU so why not take the extra $.25ish in MY pocket
Someonebutnotme said:
EVERYTHING? NO! A decent part of it - sure!
When the fave is -2/-2.5 most of the week then goes to -3.5 or -4 later - that will get me off the game 99% of the time (or maybe Vice Versa)
i have been "killed" for saying this before - but will say it again
I would rather LOSE a play on (what i feel is) a GREAT line - then win a play on (what i feel is) a BAD line
in the long run - bet bad lines and you will soon not be making any more bets
there are certain lines that should NEVER be bet
#1 on that list is the WORST line in all of sports:
NHL: Dog +.5/-140
just a TERRIBLE line - and one that should NEVER be played - instead you need to find a book that has "Pick +100" for in the long run - playing this +/5/-140 will send you to the poorhouse
I dont know if that really makes sense, after all if playing the +.5 -140 will send you to the poor house over the long haul, are you saying that taking the -.5 +130 is a sure road to riches?
a more accurate answer would be that each situation is different, for example, if the Devils are playing another defensive team & you forsee a tie as being very likely, then perhaps you would opt for the extra half goal, if however you expect a shootout the ML might be a better buy.
