I am looking to make $50,000 by the end of baseball season. What do you guys suggest here. I could just follow Bucsfan, and then increase my units as I go, or I could combine picks from multiple cappers. I obviously am not a good capper myself. I almost started a sytem called: "Go against my first insinct." I was about 70% for a while. But I need something that really works. What does everyone think?
I dont know what your startup bankroll is right now. That is the key Question. But if you are trying to reach some astronomical number with a short stack you are asking for the imposiable. The only way to be sucessful in this business is patience. It dont matter who you follow. If you risk more than 5% of your bankroll on an given day. Not any given play. Any given day. Your betting way too much money. If your startup bankroll is 10 grand dont risk over 500 bucks. So in order for you to make 50 grand the rest of the season, your starting bankroll needs to be at least 100 grand give or take. Im not saying its imposiable to start off with 5 grand and not reach 50 grand by the end of the year but you better hope you dont hit any real cold streaks, and be prepared to lose your entire bankroll if you plan on being that agressive.
To answer your other question about Bucs or other cappers. Its not a real good idea to mix and match cappers in my opionion. Every capper has hot streaks and cold streaks. The biggest mistake people make is jumping aboard the hottest capper in forum at any given time when they are at the peak of threre streak.
The old saying goes what goes up must come down. These same people also jump off the bandwagon when they are at the lowest point of the cold streaks right before they get hot again.
So the smart thing to do is find a proven winner in this forum who has had a track record of success and stick to that capper through the hot and cold times no matter what.
To answer your other question about Bucs or other cappers. Its not a real good idea to mix and match cappers in my opionion. Every capper has hot streaks and cold streaks. The biggest mistake people make is jumping aboard the hottest capper in forum at any given time when they are at the peak of threre streak.
The old saying goes what goes up must come down. These same people also jump off the bandwagon when they are at the lowest point of the cold streaks right before they get hot again.
So the smart thing to do is find a proven winner in this forum who has had a track record of success and stick to that capper through the hot and cold times no matter what.
If you want to mix cappers, the good way to do it IMO is getting on the particular capper after 1-2 losing nights - just the law of averages. I always look through the comp plays of various touts (but those more serious ones) - if there's one on a losing streak, the game they advice becomes more attractive.
I don't know how much you have in your bankroll and if you can afford to lose this money. If you deal with 10 or 20 K, be most cautious. If you have 500, you can place a 10% of bankroll wager without any sweat I think - but in this case your chances to get to 50K this season are quite small. It is posisible to raise your bankroll significantly (it was my case for instance), but there's a lot of risk involved - propose to use excel and do some experiments basing on your or someone's stats. Generally, my personal opinion is to limit the number of bets but increase the size - of course if you can afford to go broke, as betting over 5% is very risky and the ups and downs can make you really sick (however IMO without aggressive money management it is not possible to achieve spectacular succes - on the other hand, the more I have in the bankroll, the more conservative and cautious I get). Read something about Kelly criterium
BTW, there's a Danish betting site where they propose bets on usually very chalky and little known games, advicing bets equal to 20% of your bankroll. This season their bankroll is up from 10K to 35K, and that is not their first season.
Maybe you should try if-bets? I like it if I have one game of the day that looks far better than others - the risk-reward ratio is good in this case, but it can really piss you of if you have an if-bet of 3-4 games and only the 1st one fails:sad3:
And don't forget bonus hunting, 20% on you bankroll at one shot it is something that cannot be missed
I don't know how much you have in your bankroll and if you can afford to lose this money. If you deal with 10 or 20 K, be most cautious. If you have 500, you can place a 10% of bankroll wager without any sweat I think - but in this case your chances to get to 50K this season are quite small. It is posisible to raise your bankroll significantly (it was my case for instance), but there's a lot of risk involved - propose to use excel and do some experiments basing on your or someone's stats. Generally, my personal opinion is to limit the number of bets but increase the size - of course if you can afford to go broke, as betting over 5% is very risky and the ups and downs can make you really sick (however IMO without aggressive money management it is not possible to achieve spectacular succes - on the other hand, the more I have in the bankroll, the more conservative and cautious I get). Read something about Kelly criterium
BTW, there's a Danish betting site where they propose bets on usually very chalky and little known games, advicing bets equal to 20% of your bankroll. This season their bankroll is up from 10K to 35K, and that is not their first season.
Maybe you should try if-bets? I like it if I have one game of the day that looks far better than others - the risk-reward ratio is good in this case, but it can really piss you of if you have an if-bet of 3-4 games and only the 1st one fails:sad3:
And don't forget bonus hunting, 20% on you bankroll at one shot it is something that cannot be missed
golferman said:
Take $25,000 and get a 100% bonus offer from Royal. You are at $50k instantly.
On a more serious side, never jump from capper to capper. Stick with one that has proven himself over more than one season or get a group of 3-5 and play the consensus picks.
What is your starting bankroll? That is the biggest factor in figuring out how difficult/easy it will be to reach your goal. If you are a dime per unit player, 50 units is not out of reach but it will be difficult to play Bucs plays because he has a lot of action and he plays a lot of moneyline favorites. :toast:
Good luck.
>>>On a more serious side, never jump from capper to capper. Stick with one that has proven himself over more than one season or get a group of 3-5 and play the consensus picks.<<<
AMEN, Brother Clip! Never, ever, never use more than one capper or jump around from day to day. Choose one capper that has shown responsible and able capping for a long time, use responsible $ management (a whole book of info in that last clause) and ride with them in good and bad...probably more good than bad. Your post brings much more to mind than I have time right now to share, but just be 1) consistent 2) prudent 3) patient. You should come out ahead. tulsa
AMEN, Brother Clip! Never, ever, never use more than one capper or jump around from day to day. Choose one capper that has shown responsible and able capping for a long time, use responsible $ management (a whole book of info in that last clause) and ride with them in good and bad...probably more good than bad. Your post brings much more to mind than I have time right now to share, but just be 1) consistent 2) prudent 3) patient. You should come out ahead. tulsa
I actually follow three guys, all proven long time. One of them is Bucs.
My strategy is that I have a unit value for each of them...
Guy A : 4 units and up to 5 on strongest bets
Guy B : As above
Guy C : He plays 1,2,3 units... I just double it to make it 2,4,6
And you might have guessed, Guy C is Bucsfan.
The unit value is the same always but might change after some time.
If any plays contradict, I just leave whatever bet I had down first... most of the time they don't contradict though. This is a great system for me personally because they are all very solid in the long run and often if one handicapper has a bad day, the other two make up for it to make the day profitable.
I've been doing this since the start of the month and have only had 2 losing days in a row once!
Just my 2 cents, good luck!
My strategy is that I have a unit value for each of them...
Guy A : 4 units and up to 5 on strongest bets
Guy B : As above
Guy C : He plays 1,2,3 units... I just double it to make it 2,4,6
And you might have guessed, Guy C is Bucsfan.
The unit value is the same always but might change after some time.
If any plays contradict, I just leave whatever bet I had down first... most of the time they don't contradict though. This is a great system for me personally because they are all very solid in the long run and often if one handicapper has a bad day, the other two make up for it to make the day profitable.
I've been doing this since the start of the month and have only had 2 losing days in a row once!
Just my 2 cents, good luck!
the key is not going broke, even if yu have a push day consider it a winner. obviously we all like winning days, weeks, months..etc...personally i do this as a hobby not a source of income, anything plus at the end of a season is a bonous. also, if you have consecutive losing days, dont feel you have to make it all up in one shot, this is a marathon, not a sprint. p.s.- never bet on the phils, they will take you further and further away from your 50k goal...or so it seems..lol
