home team system plays for saturday

SSI · Jul 2, 2005

friday turned out to be a day, in which the system worked great.

friday: 7-8 (+2.35 units)

30 Day total: 189-206 (+53.96 units) on one unit plays..

plays for saturday will once again be every home team, dogs on moneyline and favorites on runline, and if i have to -- i will lay (-2.5 runs) to get plus juice..

gotta run, have a profitable day everyone..

for anyone just reading this, we are simply flat betting, every home team, at plus juice..

GBPACKERFAN · Jul 2, 2005

Been tempted to run with the "system" but............
Maybe somebody can clarify my math from Friday's game.
I'm ok with the 7-8 record but not the +200 and something results claimed?
Wins = Mets, Milw, Stl, Dodgers, Det (nice), Minn, Oak
Losses = Cubs, Phil, Cinn, SD, Bos, Balt, KC, Seattle

100 per game, i show losing points, not winning.
My math must be wrong since SSI is showing a profit on the 7-8 games.

Could someone help me with this so i can understand the +200 units?

Thanks, GL today!!!!!!!!!! :103631605

SHACK · Jul 2, 2005

GB - It was 2 units and he had + money on every bet. So even Cards were probably like - 2 + 130. He did the dropdown at Pinnacle until he saw the + sign next to the home team.

MathProf · Jul 2, 2005

GB - If the seven winners were average of +142 you would

have won 9.94 units and lost 8 units, netting 1.94 units :103631605

GBPACKERFAN · Jul 2, 2005

Ah ha, thanks for the clarification guys.

So every game played was +100, +120, +130, ect....
Even the Stl game was +something but he was able to get -2+ runs to get the +120 or so.

I think I have it now. My book only goes as far as -1.5 runs, so yesterday I had Stl on the RL but at -140. So if you can't play games at -2, -2.5 runs to get the posituve juice, then the "system" is not right for you, I would have to presume.

Thanks for taking the time to explain things to me!!! :dancefool

Good luck today for those playing the system, kick the man in the balls!

SSI · Jul 2, 2005

stl -2.5 (+1.25)
minn -2.5 (+1.25)
Mil -1.5 (+1.95)
mets ML (+1.15)
LAD -1.5 (+1.70)
Oak -1.5 (+1.42)
Det ML (+1.62)

those numbers are real close, as my notes are at my store at the moment.. it came up to 7-8 (+2.35) or close to it, ill look it up later, but you get the picture..

SSI · Jul 2, 2005

for saturday, ive got Stl and Bos at (-2.5).

i have oak -1.5 on alt runline.

i have det and kc on moneyline.

the rest of the home teams are all at (-1.5 runs), including 2 games on cincy..

total of 16 plays today..

SSI · Jul 2, 2005

one more thing, a 7-9 day today will probably show a nice little profit, with the big juice out there. a 9-7 day would be great.. however as always 8-8 is what im shooting for (.500)..

MightyMoe · Jul 2, 2005

SSI, Thanks for the explanation. I have been checking out your system and wanted to make sure of how everything went. Hate to assume something and lose because of it, know what I mean? Good luck today!

SSI · Jul 2, 2005

without a dodger rally, it looks like a 2-5 start but only a (-1.70 unit loss), hopefully tonight will turn for the better.. i need 5 more wins from somewhere on the day..

Ive got an exciting saturday night planned as wife and daughter are out shopping, im going to spend several hours trying to develop something for these darn baseball totals..

SSI · Jul 2, 2005

spent the better part of 90 minutes researching totals.. 2 more games left today, id say over 8 sf/sd and under 8.5 oak/cws... i tend to think the better play is oak/cws under 8.5... just talking here, bored, is the race ever going to start..

heart222 · Jul 3, 2005

For totals I use data at vegas insider. It divides teams o/u by home and away. I use over 60% or under 40% as a screen to eliminate teams. I use the same for the Mon-Wed series and then the same for the Thur-Sun series. Its amazing Philly at home is 23-7 and on the road 17/22. Cinn is another outstanding home over team. From there I compare them with the opponent and say Philly is over and if there opponent is close to 50% over were in business. I tend to pass on the games around 7 7.5 as historically they are a split. I also leave Col alone at home as the number is always around 11-12 and for the season they are around 50% at home.For today Sunday bost and balt are unders cinn is an over philly is an over.all the teams are 1-1 for fri and sat so i am passing today.

I think this is a quick screen to eliminate games. I do the same with sides. I dont keep the units for the season but my account including baskets and other things is up around 40 units since april 1 so thisstuff must be working. i start it May 1. First month I use last years stats as a starting point. thought i would share. good luck go nats.

MightyMoe · Jul 3, 2005

SSI, How'd you end up for Saturday's home team system plays? Was going to play them but was late getting the first games in and decided not to play any of them. I like the system but like any system, you need to play all of the games or it will not work. Can you list your plays for today? Sometimes I think you'd play -1 getting odds but you play the runline at -1.5 with more coming back? Maybe I just drank too much and can't figure it out? Good luck today!

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