BIGSHOTMAXXX<SCRIPT type=text/javascript> vbmenu_register("postmenu_2042849", true); </SCRIPT> .... YEAH THE BUCS ARE STINKING UP THE JOINT!!! ACTUALLY KIP WELLS PITCHES GREAT AGAINST THE PHILLIES, BUT THE PIRATES ARE PLAYING SO BAD RIGHT NOW!!! AND I SENSE THE PHILLIES ARE READY TO STRING TOGETHER A FEW WINS!!:toast:
JohnnyFairPlay<SCRIPT type=text/javascript> vbmenu_register("postmenu_2042949", true); </SCRIPT> ..... ALL DUE RESPECT TO WINNING SYSTEMS.... BUT I PLAY MY OWN SELECTIONS! GOOD LUCK TONIGHT!!! SHAWN
Let's be honest... even when you make a play going in you must know it isn't a lock. Therefore you should never call it a lock. Perhaps a strong or very strong play or a specific unit play? What it should come down to is a value play (% you think it has to win). Over the long haul all we want is the % in our favor. But to call any play a LOCK is irresponsible and foolish. I understand there are games/plays you feel strong about but NONE qualify as a LOCK.
I say this to you because when you release it as such you may get an inexperienced player who sees this and then goes ahead and puts more money on the game than they would otherwise done. If you have been doing this long enough you should understand what I am saying and consider it when giving out your plays. perhaps you should release unit plays that should represent a % of bankroll. Personally from my education in mathematics and statistics the plays should be 3,4,5 and 6% of bankroll.
One should never risk more than 6% of their bankroll on any given play and no one play should be worth more than twice their minimum play.
The main point I am trying to make is to use this forum responsibly. I am sure you don't mean harm but be careful how you release your plays. Thanks
I say this to you because when you release it as such you may get an inexperienced player who sees this and then goes ahead and puts more money on the game than they would otherwise done. If you have been doing this long enough you should understand what I am saying and consider it when giving out your plays. perhaps you should release unit plays that should represent a % of bankroll. Personally from my education in mathematics and statistics the plays should be 3,4,5 and 6% of bankroll.
One should never risk more than 6% of their bankroll on any given play and no one play should be worth more than twice their minimum play.
The main point I am trying to make is to use this forum responsibly. I am sure you don't mean harm but be careful how you release your plays. Thanks
Steelers1<SCRIPT type=text/javascript> vbmenu_register("postmenu_2043042", true); </SCRIPT> .....DUDE....TAKE A DEEP BREATHE....CALM DOWN!!! EVERYTHING IS GOING TO BE OK!!! AS I SAID BEFORE, WE ALL KNOW THERE ARE NO SUCH THINGS AS LOCKS!!! NOW PLEASE, TAKE ANOTHER DEEP BREATHE......HAVE A FEW COLD BEERS....AND CHILL THE FVCK OUT!!!:lolBIG:
Shawn,
I am calm and relaxed so don't you worry about that.
I share this information merely to be helpful to you and anyone else who reads it. I don't want to see anyone get hurt.
Thanks for your recommendations but I am not a big beer drinker but I will go ahead and pick out a nice bottle of Bordeaux from my cellar while I watch your L-O-C-K-S tonight!
Good luck!
I am calm and relaxed so don't you worry about that.
I share this information merely to be helpful to you and anyone else who reads it. I don't want to see anyone get hurt.
Thanks for your recommendations but I am not a big beer drinker but I will go ahead and pick out a nice bottle of Bordeaux from my cellar while I watch your L-O-C-K-S tonight!
Good luck!
Shawn,
It is good to see that there are other STEELERS fans out there.
Maybe you see what I mean now. 1 - 2 on 3 locks is not what I call locks. In fact your one winner you had to hold your breath in the 9th inning with Griffey coming through (for us). Honestly if you just report the facts and be a bit more relaxed and low key you will probably have greater success. I wish you well.
Unfortunately I was with you for your 3 plays but put a large precentage on the SF/Cin over and picked up over 1,100 for the evening. I also had Houston and St. Louis.
If you are not already... you may take a peek at Bucsfan's and Dubpoet's selections.
Good luck and take care.
It is good to see that there are other STEELERS fans out there.
Maybe you see what I mean now. 1 - 2 on 3 locks is not what I call locks. In fact your one winner you had to hold your breath in the 9th inning with Griffey coming through (for us). Honestly if you just report the facts and be a bit more relaxed and low key you will probably have greater success. I wish you well.
Unfortunately I was with you for your 3 plays but put a large precentage on the SF/Cin over and picked up over 1,100 for the evening. I also had Houston and St. Louis.
If you are not already... you may take a peek at Bucsfan's and Dubpoet's selections.
Good luck and take care.
Steelers1 said:
No offense intended here, but do you realize what the potential risk-of-ruin is betting 6% of your bankroll, assuming you use a floor for unit size?
(The reason I say floor is in theory your risk of ruin is 0% with fixed-fraction kelly betting, but if you lose 90% of your bankroll you're not going to sit there and bet 6% of your remaining 10%.... people usually call it quits when their drawdown is around 70-80%).
