Cin/SF OVER 9 (big bet)

dottom · Jul 7, 2005

This is my biggest bet of the season so far. Maxed limit at all my outs.

Wind is blowing out to left and center at 22-29 mph.

Even without the wind factor, we have Harang vs. Tomko.

L4 Tomko starts all OVER. Today Tomko faces the Cincy bats who will light him up. Tomko 2.16 WHIP L3 starts... LOL!! Tomko had 3 outings from bullpen now has to make transition back to starting rotation.... he'll get lit up.

L6 Harang starts UNDER which is what is keeping this line from 9.5 or 10.... you see, those games went under b/c Reds sucked those games, not because Harang didn't give up runs.

L7 matchups between these two teams OVER 6-1.

I see 4-4 game early...

NoLimits · Jul 7, 2005

I hope you win and Gnats win as I have them in the RL -1 +154.Gnats 11-reds 1 :103631605

dottom · Jul 7, 2005

GL to you. What scares be backing SF is Tomko has been batting practice pitcher. Giants also very limited bullpen availability today so if Tomko is in trouble, Alou may keep Tomko out there an extra inning or two.

AC · Jul 7, 2005

i saw the wind earlier today but the wind in san francisco is so unpredictable...

and these teams have barely been getting the over.

and harang is a decent pitcher.

and winning systems has this as a play to the under. so the over, which was my initial instinct became a no play

still, if you really maxed out your accounts, I hope you hit it.

AC

dottom · Jul 7, 2005

I walked by the ballpark about 90 minutes beore game time and the flags were blowing out to center, about 30 degrees towards left (i.e. left-center).

I usually do this whenever I see weather.com showing high winds, plus whenever it's windy around town.

This is a HUGE advantage b/c it never gets reflected in the line. The wind in SF works for you if and only if the CF flags are blowing straight out center or no more than 45-degrees to left center.

dottom · Jul 7, 2005

Tomko gets a break on what looked like run scoring single with 0-outs ends up DP as Devi Cruz skies to catch a line drive way over his head.

dottom · Jul 7, 2005

Oh boy, men on corners and Feliz takes off like it's a hit-and-run on an 0-2 count.... not a good sign. He must've read the wrong sign. Threat eliminated without a chance to score the runner from third.

7 innings and 9 runs to go.

dottom · Jul 7, 2005

Wind coming into play, 2 dropped balls in out field but so far no one can capitalize.

Kruk says "this is a different wind then we normally see here". Yes, indeed, it's the OVER wind, now if only the htiters can fricken take advantage.

SSI · Jul 7, 2005

I need this one really bad as well.... 0 runs through 3 now...... bats need to wake up..

BIGSHOTMAXXX · Jul 7, 2005

this one goes WAY over, watch and see.....

dottom · Jul 7, 2005

Don't know what's going on with the bats through first 3.2 innings... I thought Griffey's leadoff Double in second was going to be the begining of the end for Tomko. Looked like it until that DP that should've been a run scoring single and no men out with the heart of order coming up.

dottom · Jul 7, 2005

Randa didn't miss the hit this time, triples in Griffey.

1-0 SF, man on 3rd, 2-outs (top 3rd inning)

dottom · Jul 7, 2005

If this plays out according to standard Tomko form, he will walk Dunn (losing his control) and then gave up a frustration reach-back HR to Pena.

dottom · Jul 7, 2005

And Tomko walks Dunn as expected!

Now if only pena can capitalize. He'll get 96mph reach back heat, but reachback means Tomko's fastball flatens out, which is why I like Cincy vs. Tomko, lots of fastball hitters.

dottom · Jul 7, 2005

Pena had his chance- a huge swing on the first pitch right in his wheelhouse at 94mph, but he whiffed.

Pena grounds out back to the pitcher. Wish we had more runs out of that.

How we need Giants to have a huge bottom 4th to get this thing 4-1 or so.

dottom · Jul 7, 2005

Omar singles to open bottom 4th.

Can they get 3-4 runs here please? Reds have Valentin & Harang up in 5th which is prolly a throw-away inning.

dottom · Jul 7, 2005

Omar thrown out stealing, ugh.

dottom · Jul 7, 2005

Omar beat the throw but he missed the bag with his front foot. High throw but he still got thrown out.

ppeter · Jul 7, 2005

I have the over as well. Not looking too good.

dottom · Jul 7, 2005

I was way off on this one so far...

need the bats to wake up 5th and 6th innings for this one to have a chance.

I'm hoping we can see 3-3 or 4-2 to introduce possibly of teams playing for 1-run and get a 4-4 tie.

Cin/SF OVER 9 (big bet)

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