Choptalks Tuesday Baseball +103.9 UNITS YTD (14-1 +34.8) last 15 games

CHOPTALK · Jul 26, 2005

213-176 +$10391.00 YTD +103.9 UNITS

Went 4-0 +1143.00 yesterday 14-1 +34.8 last 3 days. Just broke the 100 unit mark that I promised on opening day. Now its back to 0-0 with 0 units for Tuesday. Lets see what we can do about that.

(3) ATLANTA -1 -121 $363 for $300 LISTED JS/LH all games PINNACLE
(3) Pittsburgh +155 $300 for $365 LISTED JF/BM
(3) Toronto +115 $300 for $345 LISTED PB/GC

Any combination of 2 out of 3 is the goal for today. All 3 would be a nice bonus. Im sorry but I have no Yankee play for today. Randy Johnson is overvalued but not enough to make a play on Seattle. I am in no way shape or form giving up on 200 units this season. Lets roll!!!!!!

Maybe 1 more added play later on.

XANDER · Jul 26, 2005

Like your Braves pick. Smoltz is pitching his ass off. Braves have a very good history against Livan. Go Bravos. :suomi:

34TheTruth34 · Jul 26, 2005

where did you find the -1 line on the ATL game? I thought you only bet at Pinny, but I can only find -1.5. What am I missing? Thanks.

Mark

arty:

arty:

(one for each of the last three days!)

CHOPTALK · Jul 26, 2005

34TheTruth34 said:
where did you find the -1 line on the ATL game? I thought you only bet at Pinny, but I can only find -1.5. What am I missing? Thanks.

Mark

arty: arty: arty:

(one for each of the last three days!)

The first thing you have to do is login. You cant see the -1 lines without being logged in. After you are logged in click the MLB link in the wagering menu. Then you will see all the lines for the games. Go to where the Braves game is listed and you will see a drop down box where it says Braves -1.5. Click on the down arrow and it will give you the option of -1.

34TheTruth34 · Jul 26, 2005

ty

thanks for the help. I had already taken -1.5. oh well, go blow out...

Leritu · Jul 26, 2005

34TheTruth34 said:
where did you find the -1 line on the ATL game? I thought you only bet at Pinny, but I can only find -1.5. What am I missing? Thanks.

Mark

arty: arty: arty:

(one for each of the last three days!)

Welcome to posting @ the forums. Look under "alternate runlines" and you'll find a host of other runlines besides -1.5 to choose from, including -1.

theKRACKON · Jul 26, 2005

GREAT MM...and PATIENCE!!! :suomi:

Doug · Jul 26, 2005

choptalk said:
The first thing you have to do is login. You cant see the -1 lines without being logged in. After you are logged in click the MLB link in the wagering menu. Then you will see all the lines for the games. Go to where the Braves game is listed and you will see a drop down box where it says Braves -1.5. Click on the down arrow and it will give you the option of -1.

Even better is mixing your bet between ML and RL, you can create the equivelant of -1 and pay less for it, using some algebra, I'll look up the thread (again).

Doug · Jul 26, 2005

Chop is in this thread, not sure why doesn't use this technique which is best explained in post #12.

http://forum.therx.com/showthread.php?t=281457

stef · Jul 26, 2005

I think Randy is pitching against Minnesota, but hell with the run you are on I am probally wrong and you are right. Congratulations on a real nice run. Like the way you keep it in perspective. Class act.

CHOPTALK · Jul 26, 2005

stef said:
I think Randy is pitching against Minnesota, but hell with the run you are on I am probally wrong and you are right. Congratulations on a real nice run. Like the way you keep it in perspective. Class act.

:lolBIG: You are correct. Got in a hurry there. Hes too overvalued against Radke. I cant justify a play either way on this one. Not going to force a Yankee play thats not there no matter how much I know this team.

jasin4000 · Jul 26, 2005

chop...whats your reasoning on the pirates tomorrow?....

Fogg is terrible and so is the pirates...believe i know..i live in the burgh..

CHOPTALK · Jul 26, 2005

DougJ said:
Chop is in this thread, not sure why doesn't use this technique which is best explained in post #12.

http://forum.therx.com/showthread.php?t=281457

Thanks for posting this thread Doug. Everyone who does not know about this formula should check it out.

I use this formula often Doug. But to make things simple in this forum I always post the -1 line insteed of posting odd amounts on the runline and moneyline. I track my plays in the RXTracker room and I would have to count each game as 2 plays and it would be a mess posting my plays that way. Im willing to sacrifice a few cents off what I really play in order to have a easy and viewer friendly picks thread.

CHOPTALK · Jul 26, 2005

jasin4000 said:
chop...whats your reasoning on the pirates tomorrow?....

Fogg is terrible and so is the pirates...believe i know..i live in the burgh..

Pinnys line is +155 which means that Pittsburgh would have to win this game 39% of the time to break even. I personally have a line of +125 which means I think Pittsburgh wins the game 44% of the time which means I have the 5% cushion that I need to make this a 3 unit play.

This is a value play as are most dogs over +150.

I dont know if Pittsburgh is going to win tonight, but I promise this is the value side.

Josh Fogg will show up tonight. TRUST ME

thefawv · Jul 26, 2005

arty: WTG CT!!! I knew that you could do it bro!!!!

Keep up the great work!!! :toast:

L8r - FawvDog :103631605

Kegler · Jul 26, 2005

Thank You

CHOPTALK, congratulations on reaching the +100 mark. I started tailing you at the beginning of July and just wanted to say thanks for sharing all your picks. GL the rest of the way.

ZMONEY · Jul 26, 2005

Choptalk, congratulations on your latest run and I must say I enjoy your posts and have made some money off of you lately. Keep up the great work! However, as hot as you have been, I've got to say the way Fogg is pitching its hard to be on the Pirates, who are spiraling out of control right now.

Doug · Jul 26, 2005

choptalk said:
Thanks for posting this thread Doug. Everyone who does not know about this formula should check it out.

I use this formula often Doug. But to make things simple in this forum I always post the -1 line insteed of posting odd amounts on the runline and moneyline. I track my plays in the RXTracker room and I would have to count each game as 2 plays and it would be a mess posting my plays that way. Im willing to sacrifice a few cents off what I really play in order to have a easy and viewer friendly picks thread.

That's about what I thought. Still the -1 question is always going to surface, good for anybody to know who wants to bet -1.

34TheTruth34 · Jul 26, 2005

Leritu said:
Welcome to posting @ the forums. Look under "alternate runlines" and you'll find a host of other runlines besides -1.5 to choose from, including -1.

TY.

btw, I learned a lot from the linked thread. I think everyone should read, both veteran posters and n00bs like myself.

jthang · Jul 26, 2005

nice run choptalk! glad to see you back and in full swing. keep up the awesome work!!! :103631605

Choptalks Tuesday Baseball +103.9 UNITS YTD (14-1 +34.8) last 15 games

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