Weak card yesterday....nothing worthwhile.Today:
Saint Louis/Florida Under 7.5 (-120)
One of the rare times everything I look for lines up.Starters....two of the best in the NL.Carpenter has been unreal.His record in Busch is 7-4 with an era of 2.64 and a whip of 1.13.In 88 home ip hes only allowed 4 HR this season.He hasnt let up more than 1 HR in any game since the beginning of May.The Cards are 9-1 in his L10 starts and the Under is also 9-1 in his L10.Willis stumbled for a stretch a couple of weeks ago but looked good vs the Pirates LTO.The lack of sharpness some say was due to the ankle he had fouled a ball of of,which he now says feels fine.His road numbers are impressive even after the last two road starts in which he was batted around pretty soundly (6-3, 3.43 era and 1.16 whip).The Cards have struggled from time to time to score on LH pitching and if Dontrelle is close to his normal self that shouldnt change tonight.The Marlins have been in a slump offensively scoring only an avg 3.4 runs in their L7 games.Both starters have gone deep into games numerous times but do have the BPs to bail them out if need be.Finally Doug Eddings, great under ump....with his 65% strike rate and low 274 ppg pitchcount (4.5 bb/g) ,he should make things tough on the batters tonight.Add the injuries Rolen ,Walker, and perhaps Delgado again (Marlins are 1-4 Under when he sits) and I like this total.
BOL.
Saint Louis/Florida Under 7.5 (-120)
One of the rare times everything I look for lines up.Starters....two of the best in the NL.Carpenter has been unreal.His record in Busch is 7-4 with an era of 2.64 and a whip of 1.13.In 88 home ip hes only allowed 4 HR this season.He hasnt let up more than 1 HR in any game since the beginning of May.The Cards are 9-1 in his L10 starts and the Under is also 9-1 in his L10.Willis stumbled for a stretch a couple of weeks ago but looked good vs the Pirates LTO.The lack of sharpness some say was due to the ankle he had fouled a ball of of,which he now says feels fine.His road numbers are impressive even after the last two road starts in which he was batted around pretty soundly (6-3, 3.43 era and 1.16 whip).The Cards have struggled from time to time to score on LH pitching and if Dontrelle is close to his normal self that shouldnt change tonight.The Marlins have been in a slump offensively scoring only an avg 3.4 runs in their L7 games.Both starters have gone deep into games numerous times but do have the BPs to bail them out if need be.Finally Doug Eddings, great under ump....with his 65% strike rate and low 274 ppg pitchcount (4.5 bb/g) ,he should make things tough on the batters tonight.Add the injuries Rolen ,Walker, and perhaps Delgado again (Marlins are 1-4 Under when he sits) and I like this total.
BOL.
