I get the feeling that the 'unders' are a tough game to beat at this time of year, there are a few contributing factors that I can think of....
1) Weak teams that give are 'out of it' tend to give up... Hence Kansas City today.....
2) furthermore in the hot summer air, with humidity, the Ball seems to travel better & further......
1) Weak teams that give are 'out of it' tend to give up... Hence Kansas City today.....
2) furthermore in the hot summer air, with humidity, the Ball seems to travel better & further......
Tough day WS. Still think you're solid! I am a believer that August is a time for overs due to some factors that have been mentioned. After the recent beatings and having to watch my Cubs absolutely suck, I am taking some time to "heal" for the football season. I wish you luck and hope you get back on track soon!!!
WS....I am also going to "scale back" the amounts....feel like we gave alot of our profits back...when the units rose from 2-3-4......we did great in the first 2 sets, but did not fair well in the 3rd and 4th sets and when the units are doubled...the profits go mighty quick....That being said you still rock and I will continue to follow...just on a smaller scale...GL to you
Porkchop said:
Unfortunately, your numbers are incorrect for a one unit bet. You should have specified $110/bet for your numbers to be correct. WS is up around 11 units, if for each set, the weighted units were bet on each play.
However, in the 1st set, I believe WS had several weighted double plays (went 6-1 or so) which were dropped from his recordkeeping. So you would have to add 5 units or so.
I started tracking the representative Pinnacle lines for WS's plays over several stretches, one week or so had 22 plays, 11 lines were equal or worse than -120 and 16 were equal or worse than -110, only 3 were positive. Yesterday was an anomaly, all 3 were less than -110, with 2 being slightly positive. Of course, all 3 lost. I'd say for long stretches, his average line was between -115 and -120.
For comparision purposes, with an average line of -120 and double weighted plays in set 1, with his weighted unit betting, I have WS at about -3 units.
Total number units risked is around 510 plus 40 for the pushes or 550 units wagered.
I hate to say it but I also have WS at about minus 3-5 units......That being said he has won a ton of games more than he's lost....It's just about the money mgt. that has taken away from a great year. Hopefully we can turn this around and build the bankroll back up, but I think I'll drop the units in my case.
