Orioles at Oakland review & pick

jdub6810 · Aug 15, 2005

Interesting game in Oakland tonight. Birds hopped on a cross country flight last night & gotta play in the Bay. It'll be 7PM in Oakland but 10PM in the internal clocks of those Orioles playas!
I would lean on Oakland to win due to the trends - Orioles in a funk, A's are hot & sending up their ace. But Rodrigo Lopez has been pitching well again. I would only take -200 if the pitcher on the dog is a loser. Do not play -200 against a good pitcher whose had good recent outings!!!
So the side is out. You got 2 good pitchers, 1 tired from travel road team, a loser coming off the roids, & A's bats been sleepy of late, i would recommend the UNDER if you gotta play the game!
Good luck! :103631605

jdub6810 · Aug 15, 2005

just checked the wagerline consensus. Lots of playas on Oakland, 2-1 in favor of the A's. Very nice set up for the Orioles to win with Lopez on the mound & lots of squares betting against a good pitcher. Be careful & lay a small amount if you have to bet the A's. I might just take the Orioles on a FADE for shits & grins.

But public is also leaning on the over 7.5, no clue why. I love it when i'm on the opposite side of the squares. Go UNDER!!!

:suomi:

bhg · Aug 15, 2005

jdub6810 said:
just checked the wagerline consensus. Lots of playas on Oakland, 2-1 in favor of the A's. Very nice set up for the Orioles to win with Lopez on the mound & lots of squares betting against a good pitcher. Be careful & lay a small amount if you have to bet the A's. I might just take the Orioles on a FADE for shits & grins.

But public is also leaning on the over 7.5, no clue why. I love it when i'm on the opposite side of the squares. Go UNDER!!!

I got UNDER 8 earlier in the day today.

JimL04 · Aug 15, 2005

I think the under looks real good. I am on Oakland so hopefully we get a low scoring Oakland win :103631605

jdub6810 · Aug 16, 2005

DARN i'm wishing i faded the A's. Had that feeling...it's hard to bet against a hot team & on a cold one. But all those SQUARES tilt the boat on the side & suddenly the favorite side sinks thanks to all those LOSERS that pile on the easy side.

sorry if that means you & you're offended.

One of my GREATEST GAMBLING LESSONS is to look at the wagerline consensus, & if one side is over 65% or about 2-1 on the favorite, especially on a large line, pass the game or take the dog!!! That was my great pitfall & when i developed the disclipline to follow it, my results improved.

A large line, a good pitcher or defense on the dog, & a heavy public favorite is a classic receipe for a fade or a let down. Learn this & your results will improve i promise!

:digit:

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