I havent seen much I really liked in a couple of days....of course that didnt stop me from trying,today though I love this game:
Over 10.5 (+103) Cinci/SF
Over the last five games the Giants are hitting .310 (although only .269 vs RHP but Ortiz is not consisantly good) and Cinci only .272 in thier L5 but .382 vs righties.Tomko hasnt been too solid on the road going 2-8 w/ a 5.38 era (1.48 whip)so its quite possible Cinci grabs some runs off of him since hes also sporadic especailly on the road where only 33% of his starts are considered "quality starts".This OVER lies in the hands of Ramon Ortiz IMO.His stats speak for themselves....5.13 era (1.56 whip) 6-1 Over in day games, 6.24 era (1.64 whip) 11-1 Over at home this year.Before his last start he hadnt put together back to back unders all season.Today would make 3 unders in row on the heels of two good starts,which I think makes it unlikely.He has the same problem in his home starts the Giants have in their away starts....33% of Ortizs home starts are deemed "quality starts".The BPs are decent but not bulletproof by any means.Add to the eqaution its Cinci, where with little to no wind this year, the Over is 34-16 so far and the ump whos 305 ppg count and 7.4 walks per game should make things tough on all pitchers who take the mound,and I think the Over is worth a shot here.The line looked a little high to me but thats pretty much where its been when Ortiz on the mound at home this year.
BOL.
Over 10.5 (+103) Cinci/SF
Over the last five games the Giants are hitting .310 (although only .269 vs RHP but Ortiz is not consisantly good) and Cinci only .272 in thier L5 but .382 vs righties.Tomko hasnt been too solid on the road going 2-8 w/ a 5.38 era (1.48 whip)so its quite possible Cinci grabs some runs off of him since hes also sporadic especailly on the road where only 33% of his starts are considered "quality starts".This OVER lies in the hands of Ramon Ortiz IMO.His stats speak for themselves....5.13 era (1.56 whip) 6-1 Over in day games, 6.24 era (1.64 whip) 11-1 Over at home this year.Before his last start he hadnt put together back to back unders all season.Today would make 3 unders in row on the heels of two good starts,which I think makes it unlikely.He has the same problem in his home starts the Giants have in their away starts....33% of Ortizs home starts are deemed "quality starts".The BPs are decent but not bulletproof by any means.Add to the eqaution its Cinci, where with little to no wind this year, the Over is 34-16 so far and the ump whos 305 ppg count and 7.4 walks per game should make things tough on all pitchers who take the mound,and I think the Over is worth a shot here.The line looked a little high to me but thats pretty much where its been when Ortiz on the mound at home this year.
BOL.
