Hi Having a little time wife on vacation I crunched some numbers a.l. only.First thought was betting home teams to win 1 game. they covered 55% of time so it dosent work as you have to lay to much. Then I reveresed and said o.k. lets bet road teams to win first game. they covered 45% of time so you need 1.35-1 to make anything also not possible. By the way there is no statistical senseto if team loses game one to bet them to win game 2 or game 3. the stats were 148 game 1 52 game 2 29 game 3 and 23 sweeps. So doubling down or pushing your bet is a system for disaster.
I went one step further and said ok. will bet road favorites only game 1 trying to win 1 game. i tosssed k.c. out. net result was 85 wins 81 losses + 20 units. Not surewhy but Bost and Minn are the 2 worse teams in game 1 bost was 4-7 as a forite and minn 2-8.
So the bottom line is road dogs for game 1 appear to have a slight statistical edge. i suspect some of you know this but for me a mechanical man it was kind of fun. hope this helps someone for rest of this year or next year.
I went one step further and said ok. will bet road favorites only game 1 trying to win 1 game. i tosssed k.c. out. net result was 85 wins 81 losses + 20 units. Not surewhy but Bost and Minn are the 2 worse teams in game 1 bost was 4-7 as a forite and minn 2-8.
So the bottom line is road dogs for game 1 appear to have a slight statistical edge. i suspect some of you know this but for me a mechanical man it was kind of fun. hope this helps someone for rest of this year or next year.
