spreadbeater said:
Playing unders in great hitting ballparks with 4 average to below average pitchers going is never a good idea. Just my 2 cents.
SB
I always value your viewpoint sb.
The thing I often look for is when a line is off based upon the reputation of say, the pitcher or the ballpark. Colorado went under at home a lot lately for example.
Tampa Bay has gone under 6 out of their last 10 games at home. The Angels have not been hitting well either. Both pitchers, while average to below average, have been pitching well in their last couple games. With the exception of one game for Fossum, each pitcher has not given up more than 3 earned runs per game in the last 7 outings.
Texas is another example of a ballpark getting too much respect for run production yet Texas went under their last 3 games at home. Lohse for Min has not given up more than 4 earned runs in his last 10 games. Loe is a bit of a mystery to the Twins so I figure he has the potential to get a few strikes past the Twins who have not scored well in their last 5 games with the exception of one game of 8 runs.
Thanks for chiming in. I seem to be missing another viewpoint sometimes and an opposing opinion often gets me to think whether my choice is valid or not.