Wednesdays play (40-29 +14.77 POD YTD)

Smooth sailing last night in Oakland as both pitchers lived up to their reps.Today another early under:

Under 9 KC/Minny (+108)

Both of these teams are very inconsistant offensively.Both teams had 11 hits apiece yesterday combining for 11 runs and an over.Generally when one of these teams has a good offensive night its followed by a less than stellar performance the following game.Heres a case where they both batted .300 in game yesterday.Its my opinion that this inconsistantcy will lead to a couple of mediocre pitchers looking pretty good today.Theyll be helped by a pitchers ump (65% strikes on 260 ppg-5.3 bb/g)in a pitchers park(under is 18-10 when theres little to no wind in Kauffman this year).The offenses on both sides have struggled: Minny .253 / 3.38 rpg and KC .228 / 3.13 rpg over the L5 games.This should help Lohse and Wood.Lohse L3 stats are a little misleading....beaten up by Texas in Texas LTO he let up 6 ers and spoiled a stretch of pretty decent starts.Same thing with Wood as he's let up 3 ers or less in 3 of his 4 starts but was also tagged for 6 in one of his L3 starts ruining any statistical advantage.Minnys BP is good, we know that but KC's is not playing as bad as I had thought: In the L10 games Minnys BP stands at 2.89 era and the Royals are at 3.43 era....which isnt too bad.

Even if only one of these teams bats stay sleepy,we can still survive.Im thinking they both struggle however.

GLTA.

One more for me today:

Under 7.5 (+107) Houston/Cinci

Another pitching duel IMO.Claussen is having his best season to date....he's 4-2 on the road ,2.42 era and 1.21 whip.In his L3 he's 2-0 ,2.95 era, 1.25 whip and 0 HRs in 18 ip.He's allowed 3 ERs or less in 17 of 22 starts this year.Tonight facing Pettitte,who has been really strong in the last couple of months.He's 8-4 at home ,2.42 era, .980 whip and 7 HRs in 96 home innings pitched.In his last 3 he's 2-1, 2.45 era and 1.05 whip.Hes the league leader for quality starts by a LH pitcher (22).Not only have these two pitched well recently but vs each others respective teams.Add to this the offenses...which have not been very good on a regular basis (Reds are batting .250 and avg. 4.70 rpg L5) and (Stros batting just .241 and scoring only 2.86 rpg L5).Houston had a good night last night with the bats by thier standards im sure so I like the chances of them looking bad tonight and Cinci, although a little more dangerous should have a tough time with Pettitte.In the L5 games the Houston BP has an era of 4.70 which is a little worrisome but in his L9 starts Pettitte has gone 7+ innings often 8 and surprisingly the Reds BP has been better @ 2.92 era L5 games.So even though theres not much room for error it could be worse when the big guns leave the mound.Houston is not the most hitter freindly ball park (2-8 Under L10 Houston home games).... also alot of balls hit hard last night seemed to just quit midflight.The ump shouldnt hurt us either.

GLTA.

very nice analysis basehead you are definitly on top of things