Going with the Over 8.5 (-115) Cleveland/Detroit
What Im thinking is that the value is being derived from CC's recent starts.His numbers as of late are flawless (coming off 0 ER effort LTO).He has however struggled with the Tigers.Both his starts vs Detroit this year have gone over as his stats have not been too stellar: 1-1 , 9 ER in 10.1 IP (4 and 5).Only one other time this year has Sabathia had a 0 ER performance....he followed it up with a 5 ER let down.BTW Sabathia is 9-1 Over L10 vs the Tigers.Thats what Im hoping for tonight vs a Tiger team that can flat out hit lefties.They hit em at home ,they hit em on the road and theyve hit CC pretty well.Colon is a question mark.Ive seen alot of these fill in guys produce this year but I think the Indians get him here.He's hasnt started in 2 mos. and his limited stats are as follows: 15.1 ip, 13 ERs , 5 HRs.Detroit pitching has been terrible lately (6.96 starters ERA / 4.78 BP ERA ,.306 OBA overall L10).This bet is riding on the Tigers bats which make it scary, but often teams just succeed vs certain players and for the last 2 years Detroit has not struggled vs CC.I dont envision Colon shutting down the Tribe.A good Over ump coming off a couple of Unders sweetens the pot.
GLTA.
What Im thinking is that the value is being derived from CC's recent starts.His numbers as of late are flawless (coming off 0 ER effort LTO).He has however struggled with the Tigers.Both his starts vs Detroit this year have gone over as his stats have not been too stellar: 1-1 , 9 ER in 10.1 IP (4 and 5).Only one other time this year has Sabathia had a 0 ER performance....he followed it up with a 5 ER let down.BTW Sabathia is 9-1 Over L10 vs the Tigers.Thats what Im hoping for tonight vs a Tiger team that can flat out hit lefties.They hit em at home ,they hit em on the road and theyve hit CC pretty well.Colon is a question mark.Ive seen alot of these fill in guys produce this year but I think the Indians get him here.He's hasnt started in 2 mos. and his limited stats are as follows: 15.1 ip, 13 ERs , 5 HRs.Detroit pitching has been terrible lately (6.96 starters ERA / 4.78 BP ERA ,.306 OBA overall L10).This bet is riding on the Tigers bats which make it scary, but often teams just succeed vs certain players and for the last 2 years Detroit has not struggled vs CC.I dont envision Colon shutting down the Tribe.A good Over ump coming off a couple of Unders sweetens the pot.
GLTA.
