8 team ML parlay - how dumb is dumb?!

Ok, I assume this is dumb, but I am curious just HOW dumb?

I had $100 left in my account after the rest was spread over the games today, so I took a shot at a big parlay - but with all HUGE chalk. I would normally not consider this, so I am wondering how often these huge favorites actually lose.

<TABLE borderColor=blue width=680 border=0><TBODY><TR class=tableText height=30><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap>45802882-1
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</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>5:25am
10-Sep-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap></TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>Parlay</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom align=left>8-Team Parlay</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right></TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>100.00</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>401.14</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top colSpan=8><TABLE class="" id=pitcher2 cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0 valign="top"><TBODY><TR><TD class=accountText align=right width=25></TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=right>1.</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>Win 10-Sep</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>Football/NCAA</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>(Money) </TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>Kansas State vs Marshall for Game (-400)</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>21 - 19</TD></TR><TR><TD class=accountText align=right width=25></TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=right>2.</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>10-Sep-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>Football/NCAA</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>(Money) </TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>San Jose State vs Illinois for Game (-605)</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>Pending</TD></TR><TR><TD class=accountText align=right width=25></TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=right>3.</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>10-Sep-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>Football/NCAA</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>(Money) </TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>California vs Washington U for Game (-310)</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>Pending</TD></TR><TR><TD class=accountText align=right width=25></TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=right>4.</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>10-Sep-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>Football/NCAA</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>(Money) </TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>North Carolina vs Georgia Tech for Game (-505)</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>Pending</TD></TR><TR><TD class=accountText align=right width=25></TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=right>5.</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>10-Sep-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>Football/NCAA</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>(Money) </TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>New Mexico vs Missouri for Game (-435)</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>Pending</TD></TR><TR><TD class=accountText align=right width=25></TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=right>6.</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>10-Sep-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>Football/NCAA</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>(Money) </TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>Vanderbilt vs Arkansas for Game (-465)</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>Pending</TD></TR><TR><TD class=accountText align=right width=25></TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=right>7.</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>10-Sep-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>Football/NCAA</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>(Money) </TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>So Mississippi vs Alabama for Game (-605)</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>Pending</TD></TR><TR><TD class=accountText align=right width=25></TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=right>8.</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>10-Sep-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>Football/NCAA</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>(Money) </TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>UAB vs Troy State for Game (-405)</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap align=left>Pending</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

I don't want to get in the habit, but I am wondering just how safe -400 favorites have been in the past. I'm sure you'd get eaten up over the long run, but I am looking for stats to back that up. Any recent stats from last year?

Thanks.
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Better shot in the Pros with -400 favs, Good Luck

Dub is right


But this one will cash. Just for you. You picked a good day to do it.

It should be done already, if the Marshall coach was'nt a guy who suffers from partial retardation that makes a guy go to a pass play when he is easily in FG position FTW with just seconds remaining

Homework, calc. the house theoretical edge on that bet!

I'd guess around 25% ROI to the house......

Im SRY IMO Parlays are a suckers bet. Only play them for 50$ or under for fun if you must (teasers are ok imo )

Ask any Bookie they keep all parlays

Coop