Packers have lost their home mystique under Sherman. Just 9-8 at home their last 17, that's straight-up. They are 2-9 against the spread at home their last 11.
Before the season, Green Bay would have been favored by at least 4. But now the Bucs are proving better than people thought and the Packers a lot worse.
Green Bay's defense ranks among the bottom three and their offense no longer is potent without Javon Walker. They have a rookie guard, a seventh-round draft pick, starting. He's been getting killed so far.
So I understand Tampa Bay being favored.