Giants/Nationals play

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I'll be on the Giants. it's up to +110 now, looks like money is coming in on the Nats.

Check this out, from covers.com..."San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals – Nationals -114

Livan Hernandez against Matt Cain. A team in the NL wild card race versus a team with Yorvit Torrealba seeing significant playing time.

We all know the line is only this low because of one player, and Barry Bonds can’t be worth that much.

And isn’t there at least a 15 percent chance that Bonds doesn’t even get on the team flight because Pedro Feliz looked at him the wrong way, or Todd Linden stole his seat? Is there a prop bet anywhere on this? Shouldn’t there be hourly press releases confirming Bonds will play each game, complete with his hilarious ramblings, just so bettors really know what’s up?

Oh wait, there are.

Sure, the Nationals may be the worst 77-73 team since the Cerrano/Vaughn Cleveland Indians, but at least they have their ace pitching.

In 10 career showdowns with Bonds, Hernandez has allowed two hits (one a home run) and walked him four times.
"

Now many times Covers had great insight into why to play a side in a game, but sometimes they write something that makes no sense. Am I to believe that the Nats are going to win because Bonds is being covered by the media, or because of Hernandez's record against Bonds after 10 at bats (even though with 2 hits and 4 walk that means Binds reached base 60% of the time, decent numbers)? No mention of Cain and his early dominence, or the fact that the Nats can't hit?

Here's a simplier, much better breakdown.

Cain looks very good after a few starts, and the Nats will be seeing him for the first time. On top of that, that Nats aren't a good hitting team to begin with. The Giants have Bonds back. And the Giants are getting a nice little underdog price.

Giants for me. Not a lock or a big play, but simply worthy of being a play.
 

pro gamblererer
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I agree. I think that Livan is average at best and lucky as hell.
 

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a team with Yorvit Torrealba seeing significant playing time


Yorvit Torrealba was traded to the Mariners quite a while ago, in the Randy Winn trade. Whoever wrote that piece is a complete moron.
 

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