INPUT on capping from you geniuses....

Tulsa · Sep 25, 2005

How fruitful is reverse capping to find what selection criteria matter?

What I mean is this. Say we have fourteen pro football games this week. Say that I gather all the information that I can BEFORE each of the games as pre-game info is hard to find on the net AFTER the game is over. So, I have 28 team info packets and 14 game info packets.

THEN, I find the games that resulted in six (4,5,8?? points...how many points would you think best?) or more points off the spread and concentrate on studying the statistics for those teams and those games to find what seemed to matter. After several weeks...maybe a season or so, would one begin to see what factors played a role in the 'large' difference between result and spread?

Is this possible?
Are any one of you doing this?
Have you ever tried this?

Any thoughts on this would be appreciated....no, wait: I DEMAND :toothless that you give input.Thanks for your time. tulsa

WorldNumberOne · Sep 25, 2005

you lost me at the word geniuses ...

TTinCO · Sep 25, 2005

I've developed an extremely complicated system of capping the NFL that has been doing rather well. The scope of it is way beyond anything that can be explained on a forum, but I'll attempt to give a high level overview.

This system is referred to as Sudden Lock Instant Money. It involves coming to the Rx about 1 hour before kickoff and undertaking the monumental task of finding the "answer thread". More details can be found here http://forum.therx.com/showthread.php?t=305133

:103631605

RobFunk · Sep 25, 2005

all stats including line movement are completely worthless for handicapping the NFL

all that matters is:

what is the number
Who's injured
Who is the better team
Who is better prepared
Where they are playing

wantitall4moi · Sep 25, 2005

Capping is overrated.

RobFunk · Sep 25, 2005

It's true. If you just bet the team you think has the best chance of going to the superbowl every week you'll probably make some good coin

Journeyman · Sep 25, 2005

In the NFL I agree capping is way overrated...I got my darts out for the 4 o'clocks...

I think the best shot is halftime wagering with NFL.

LucaBrasi · Sep 25, 2005

Football is still a simple game. What team will run the ball the best and which team will stop the run the best will more times than not tell you who will win the game.

There was a thread a couple of weeks ago about how the spread only matters something like 17% of NFL games. So take the better running team, the better run defense and if there isn't one, that should tell you enough to move on and pick a game that is easier to figure out.

NEWPORT · Sep 25, 2005

RobFunk said:
all stats including line movement are completely worthless for handicapping the NFL

all that matters is:

what is the number
Who's injured
Who is the better team
Who is better prepared
Where they are playing

Could not have said it better...Also agree with JMAN, outside of the contest and the parlays, I find myself more attracted to the halftime and quarter lines the more I follow