Florida St= Underrated

read at ccnsi this week how lucky Florida St has been and how bad they are. Worst team in top 20 they said and they will finish 8-4.

There on their way to a route of Syracuse and another cover. They have an offense now. Very underrated team that should be in the National Title debate. Tough schedule though. Some losable ACC games on tap to avoid and then final two games at Florida and a potential Florida St - Virginia Tech or Miami ACC title game. If they run the table, they should be #1 going into the bowl game. Maybe they can get into the title game with 1 loss.

if they cover today Florida St will be a perfect 4-0 vs the spread

RX inside info-----Their starting QB was at BENNIGANS TAVARN last Friday night down the street from me and was kicked out of the bar for being under age and drinking!!

Lukily for him, they did not call the cops.

2nd half bet

Florida St -9

Syracuse is hot and tired and will need a lucky break play to get any points today

Fishhead said:

RX inside info-----Their starting QB was at BENNIGANS TAVARN last Friday night down the street from me and was kicked out of the bar for being under age and drinking!!

Lukily for him, they did not call the cops.

Click to expand...

:lolBIG:

thanks fishhead for the tip. I figure Weatherford is probably hung over, he was probably drinking last night to. But by halftime he had worked up a sweat and was sweating out the alcohol and probably feeling better and less hungover. This was solid info to help me make a second half bet on FSU.

Weatherford just chucked a nice TD pass to open the second half. Syracuse balloon is busted, now the romp starts. FSU defense takes pride that they have not given up a second half point all season and want to continue that.

:lolBIG: They are very lucky they don't have 2 losses.

Florida St opener -20 home vs Wake Forest next week ( Pinnacle, the greek)

They will be 5-0 ATS after next week. Head scratcher of a line. Will close 22-23, my opinion. I bet it and put some more in for a middle shot later. I think they will cover I'm more sure the line is heading up. Especially on gameday from people who ride streaks. Line looks too low anyway.

I am seriously going to pass on the middle shot and ride the whole thing on Florida St -20. That would make this double the highest bet I ever made. I just don't get the line. I think at a time like this I need to jjgold it and let the chips fall where they may.

Here is some info I am riding, to overcome my bias towards a favorite team.

Wake Forest has played 5 games. 4 at home, 2 of which they lost. The one road game was at Nebraska, a tough road environment. Nebraska, though proven to be offensiveless but with a strong defense, won 31-3. ( 28 points, FSU favored by only 20, well 20.5 now.)


While memories linger of the FSU-Miami game, junk them. FSU's 2 QB's are now playing far better than anything seen since the pre-Rix days. They needed some time and game experience, they have it.

FSU officially, this can be looked up thru Bobby Bowden quotes, junked the conservative offense of the Rix years last week. Against Syracuse, a team with a strong defense, Florida St came out in the Charlie Ward style shotgun offense. That's 1 RB, no TE and 4 receivers. FSU put up 392 yards passing and 38 points on a tough defense.

When Xavier Lee comes in at QB in the second half, its not to run out the clock, its to compete for the starting QB job. The same spread run & gun offense is employed. This helps the FSU scoring and for our purposes, a cover.


Wake is a running team. Florida St is VERY strong versus the run. You cannot run on a good defense. FSU generates a strong pass rush too. Wake will need a punt return or turnovers or some general luck to put up more than 7-10 points here.

The least of my points, but consider it. The last two FSU visits to Wake have been close games. That was during the dark Rix years. Even during that time, in Wakes two visits to Florida St, Florida St won 48-24 both times. Were looking to cover 20 here. Or 20.5 now for you late bloomers. FSU's offense is better than it was anytime during the Rix years. The defense is very strong.

Predicted score:

Florida St 44
Wake 7

I have also bet futures lines on FSU -6.5 at Virginia heavily today and put a bet on FSU to win the national championship at 20-1. I dont expect to cash the 20-1 ticket but I can honestly say watching this team it is moving towards a team that can win it all. It certainly is not there now, but I see big strides and wonder if they can beat Florida on the road at the end of the season and beat Virginia Tech in Jacksonville to win the inaugural ACC title game? The defense is close to championship caliber and the offense, if it continues to improve, has all the talent neccesary.


disclaimer- I am a Florida St fan. Bet at your own risk. Maybe I see things thru rosy glasses? I believe in the pick, but I may be wrong. There are no locks.

:toast:

What middle opp?

look at my previous post. I bet all I wanted on Florida St -20 and then bet a large amount to play back on gameday on Wake Forest +22 or +23 as I think the line will close. I am saying now I will junk the buyback and let the whole thing ride.

note- don't try this at home folks. just cause I like it doesnt mean you need to. I am just warning now, I have no inside info, I just like the game. Feel free to follow me, ignore me or fade me as you see fit.

u can still get em 20-1 to win the title

i got em 25-1....i just want them to make the title so i can hedge....

would be frickin great if Oklahoma wins this saturday

Solid defense will give them a chance to win every game. If they can get the QB thing solved, they are as good as anybody.

They have a pretty soft schedule in the easier division of the ACC. They will no doubt be favored from here on out until Florida.

they will be heavy heavy underdogs in the ACC Championship...

Im already thinking the line will be Va Tech -9.5