Is there such thing as a guarantee???

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That settles it...It's WED/DAY
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Prop going right now will the Cardinals win 1 or fewer games vs the Astros

It opened at -815 now up to -853

Yes that is heavy juice but basically you are betting on the Astros not winning 4-1 and 4-0. Any other scenario you win.

Now I feel the Cardinals will win but if the Astros win it will be 4-3 most likely or 4-2.

Is this a prop that they hold some extra cash for you and then just give you a few hundred for nothing?

St Louis with a 11-5 series lead. St Louis has the home field. St. Louis is the best team currently in the majors. Hmmmmm...
 

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Saw that also, and never more in life did I wish I had a million dollars!! :lolBIG: Cuz if I did I'd have noooooo problem with betting it all on this play. Even the 2 wins or less at -300?? something looks like a winna winna as well. Anyone got some extra money laying around I can borrow for a week, week and a half??
 

That settles it...It's WED/DAY
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Another example of the rich getting richer and the poor can't afford it. I wish I had that million too. Instead I may just take a stab at a 100 or 200.
 

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Assuming we are looking at the same book ... remember that they are not that stupid :)

Maximum Wager: 1000.00 USD
 

That settles it...It's WED/DAY
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I am trying to think through this so maybe some of you can help.

We say NO to the Cardinals winning one or fewer games at -853 now.

Lets say we put 5000 on it to win about 586 dollars.

Then we put 200 on the Astros winning the series 4-0 at +2500 to win 5000.

So basically the only way you lose (and you lose big) is if the Astros win the series 4-1 and if not you put an extra 386 in your pocket.

Is this a free 386.00? or 586?

I am sure if you shopped around you could even do better or if you waited to hedge some if the Cardinals win game 1. Hmmm the possibilities.
 

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Right now I did it to win 200.00

risking about 1700

:smoker2:
 

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dude,
what are you doing? risking enough money to buy a huge TV, nice piece of jewelry, a cheap boat or car, for a piss ass 200 bucks. That's a bartender's take on a so-so night. Of course, chances are you'll get it. but keep it up & eventually it will bite your ass.
In my newbie betting days, i opened an offshore account with $2K & doubled my money in 2 weeks playing massive sure thing money lines on college hoops. It seemed like a brilliant idea. In 2 plays i was broke, because eventually you get greedy. One of those losses? I layed $1600 to win $100 for #2 Temple to beat unranked St Joseph, straight up. I lost by a point on the final play of the game of course. When you eventually have to pay that out for winning chump change, it gets old real fast. You can't chase the loss if you take out all your ammo.
If it's such a great pick, sell everything you got, mortgage the equity, sell the car & the wife, & lay it all out. have some balls brother! what's 1700 on a sure thing when you can lay 100,000?
good luck! & if you make change, don't piss it away on a brain fart :103631605
 

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jdub6810 said:
dude,
what are you doing? risking enough money to buy a huge TV, nice piece of jewelry, a cheap boat or car, for a piss ass 200 bucks. That's a bartender's take on a so-so night. Of course, chances are you'll get it. but keep it up & eventually it will bite your ass.
In my newbie betting days, i opened an offshore account with $2K & doubled my money in 2 weeks playing massive sure thing money lines on college hoops. It seemed like a brilliant idea. In 2 plays i was broke, because eventually you get greedy. One of those losses? I layed $1600 to win $100 for #2 Temple to beat unranked St Joseph, straight up. I lost by a point on the final play of the game of course. When you eventually have to pay that out for winning chump change, it gets old real fast. You can't chase the loss if you take out all your ammo.
If it's such a great pick, sell everything you got, mortgage the equity, sell the car & the wife, & lay it all out. have some balls brother! what's 1700 on a sure thing when you can lay 100,000?
good luck! & if you make change, don't piss it away on a brain fart :103631605

I agree you are right. In about 4 weeks I have turned 300 bucks into 6,400. When I reached about 4000 I started taking high priced chalk that I felt were sure bets and it has turned into 6400. I took 100-200 here and there and nickled and dimed my way up. So if I do lose this bet I will almost be back to where I started (where I started laying big chalk). I do not do this often. I have been doing USC MLs and took another big chalk with the Cardinals over the Padres for the series. Now I have taken this crazy bet. I feel the Cardinals will win the series but its definitely not a sure thing. I do feel very strongly the Cardinals will win at least 2. I have analyzed this series and stats to a T (which does not mean much I know). I am relatively cheap overall and look to hedge anyway I can. I have found several ways already to hedge this that I am still knocking back and forth. I do not like to post my picks because I usually end up jinxing myself.
I do appreciate your advice because overall laying big chalk you will eventually get caught.
:103631605
 

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the forces that hurt you are greed & complacency. when you hit win after win on the high lines, you get the feeling anything you like will cover, then you start losing picking discipline. You get greedy because you're increasing your juice, as you indicated in your reply, & you get complacent that it's always gonna come in. That's when the man gets it back. Then you want it back fast, do something impulsive, & it's gone in a moment. Been there, done that!!!
You know it does look good as a pick. I wouldn't lay it 'cause the return is not worth all the money on the line to me. If i put up 2 grand, i want to win 2 grand, & i want to be able to take a shot at getting it back on 1 play if i lose. So my days of laying the colossal chaulk are over.
I don't know you, but trust me you cannot parlay $300 into a million. it feels like you can, but you are going to get cold. You will never be satisfied with your winnings & will constantly want it to grow. you will continue to increase your risk & eventually the led zeppelin burns to the ground.
Best wishes man. Take the 200 bucks & go buy something if you win. at least you'll have something to show for it.
 

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I agree with you on greed and complacency.

I am somewhat selective on the big chalk. Never on a single MLB, NBA, NFL, NCAA hoops game. I think College Football is a good selection since there are serious ranges in talent from one team to another. The rest are too close.

Baseball anyone can win on any given day. This is not a wager on one game but at least 4. I think it would shock most people if St. Louis lost the series 4-2. That would be a big shocker but would also be a winner for this wager. The line for this wager should be about -2000.
 

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Well whoever made this ridiculous easy money wager can now lock in a for sure profit by taking the Astros to win the series 4-1 (if you wish) at +1900.

I had a 1700 wager to win 200 that the Cardinals would not win one or fewer games.
With the Cards win this sets up what I was anticipating. I will put 89 dollars to win 1700 to lock in myself a 110.00 profit. Or you can ride it out saying the Astros will not sweep the Cards now and win the series 4-1. I always like to lock in profit if possible.
I'll take my free 110.00 dollars.:party:
 

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Rawpimple said:
Well whoever made this ridiculous easy money wager can now lock in a for sure profit by taking the Astros to win the series 4-1 (if you wish) at +1900.

I had a 1700 wager to win 200 that the Cardinals would not win one or fewer games.
With the Cards win this sets up what I was anticipating. I will put 89 dollars to win 1700 to lock in myself a 110.00 profit. Or you can ride it out saying the Astros will not sweep the Cards now and win the series 4-1. I always like to lock in profit if possible.
I'll take my free 110.00 dollars.:party:

In almost every case I would agree with saying to take the profit.....but not in this one!! You're just throwing your $89 away IMO because the Astros WILL NOT win 4 games in a row against this Cardinal team. No way, No shot, No chance! Doubt any of the teams left could even win 2-3 in a row, they're pretty much that good of a team. But, of course, it's your money and $1700 is a lot to lose but seriously I can't see it happening.
 

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Yeah you know I agree. I do not think I am going to cover it this time. If the Astros win tonight I will still have an opportunity again to cover some before the games go to Houston. I think I am going to hold off. Thanks for the input.
 

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Do you have the Cards for the series?

I have about 530 to win 300 on the Cards to win the NL. I could cover this now and put a little on the Astros at +270. I just like the Cards at home and if they can pull out tonights game I can then hedge the series.

This Cards team though to me is destined to win this World Series. If they do beat the Astros (which I think they will), I do not think the Angles or White Sox could beat them.

It always seems there is a team destined to win the World Series. The Angles a few years ago, the Marlins, the Red Sox, and now I believe its the Cardinals turn.

This Cardinals team is just so damn good. They have good pitching, and their lineup is just all around dangerous. They really benefited by playing some of their bench players for significant time during the year. This team has it all and they have the baseball Gods on their side too. All these runners in prime scoring position in both the Padres series and now first game with the Astros and they have gotten out of all these jams without much, if any damage.
 

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Rawpimple said:
Yeah you know I agree. I do not think I am going to cover it this time. If the Astros win tonight I will still have an opportunity again to cover some before the games go to Houston. I think I am going to hold off. Thanks for the input.

:103631605 No problemo bro, that's what we're all here for. And yeah I'm in on the Cards for almost $450 this series and $200 to win the World Series. I'm with you on the feeling that they are the destined team it seems to win it all this year. Doesn't hurt when you're also the best team pitching and hitting wise in the league as well though! ;)
 

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Rawpimple said:
Prop going right now will the Cardinals win 1 or fewer games vs the Astros

It opened at -815 now up to -853

Yes that is heavy juice but basically you are betting on the Astros not winning 4-1 and 4-0. Any other scenario you win.

Now I feel the Cardinals will win but if the Astros win it will be 4-3 most likely or 4-2.

Is this a prop that they hold some extra cash for you and then just give you a few hundred for nothing?

St Louis with a 11-5 series lead. St Louis has the home field. St. Louis is the best team currently in the majors. Hmmmmm...


:monsters- oh my
 

That settles it...It's WED/DAY
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Chop,

Respect you a lot! Thanks for coming in after the Astros take a 2-1 lead and the Cardinals are hit up with injuries. Although things do not look good for the Cardinals now, the series is not over. The great thing about this bet is it is not on 1 game and you have plenty of chances to cover it. That is why I did it. Same goes for series bets. Houston is hot there is no denying that. You can get pretty good value on Houston winning 4-2 and 4-3.

Best of luck to you!:103631605
 

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