Simon Noble's article got me thinking about Pinny leans. Everyone knows pinny offers -104 on NFL sides and -105 on all other foots and hoops (full game at least) and that the line is often skewed quite a bit, say +100/-110 through +107/-117. I think it's safe to say these -110 or higher games must hit at over 50% over the long run, but how much over 50%? I'm talking about a purely random sample taken at any time throughout the week/day.
How about some educated guesses:
-110
-112
-115
-117
I'll guess 50.5-52+% for this range. 52% might be pushing it a bit, but it's a nice number. Am I crazy? I'd appreciate any feedback.
How about some educated guesses:
-110
-112
-115
-117
I'll guess 50.5-52+% for this range. 52% might be pushing it a bit, but it's a nice number. Am I crazy? I'd appreciate any feedback.
