The look ahead theory article

Search

New member
Joined
Apr 3, 2005
Messages
666
Tokens
Very good article on the subject of gambling. Most interesting article I think I've ever read on the subject.

At the end of the day, most gamblers are following a "system" of one sort or another. They might not realize it, but they are.

Sometimes I think I am nuts for betting on my "systems" but the alternative is to bet by the seat of my pants and when you start doing that you can run into trouble real fast when you are down and thinking about quitting. Cut your losses....exactly what the books want you to do. But if you are following a time tested "system" that you have back data on, you can go back in time and see that sometimes the system does in fact rattle off a couple of losing seasons. Stick to your guns...history generally has a tendency to repeat itself.

Later,
Books Worst Enemy
 

Active member
Joined
Oct 20, 1999
Messages
75,444
Tokens
If I told you a system that has hit 60% for 15 years with 120+ plays per year...........would you believe me?
 

New member
Joined
Jan 10, 2005
Messages
824
Tokens
Fishhead said:
If I told you a system that has hit 60% for 15 years with 120+ plays per year...........would you believe me?

Not only would I believe you, but I would also buy you lunch while we discussed the details.
 

2006 People Magazine's Sexiest Handicapper Alive
Joined
Oct 29, 2005
Messages
1,201
Tokens
the margin of error for 1,000 picks or so is about 3%..

meaning if you hit 60% over 1,000 plays (i wish:) you're true long-term win pct. is somewhere in between 57 and 63%...

if you had a system that had been winning at 60% over 1,800 plays like you described (15 years X 120+ plays per year= 1,800+ plays)...

well, that would be one hell of a system...
 

New member
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
4,477
Tokens
BWE, did you see the thread on the "Hot College Handicapper" started by Millennium? Its buried on the 3rd page in this forum.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,108,596
Messages
13,452,886
Members
99,426
Latest member
bodyhealthtechofficia
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com