WOW Nebraska +9.5 2nd Half

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You could have had them +17.5 and now you like -7.5?

25 point swing and you like it? This is a a play I NEVER make.

Its CU or no play.
 

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cincy_ said:
You could have had them +17.5 and now you like -7.5?

25 point swing and you like it? This is a a play I NEVER make.

Its CU or no play.


Nebraska is GETTING 9 1/2!

I did take them at +17.5 as well!

:smoker2:
 

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Nebraska getting 9.5 means they are laying 7.5 for the game. That is what I meant.

Congratulations, but I would never play a 2nd half line where the dog has to win by more than a TD.
 

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cincy_ said:
Nebraska getting 9.5 means they are laying 7.5 for the game. That is what I meant.

Congratulations, but I would never play a 2nd half line where the dog has to win by more than a TD.

Did you watch the first half? Complete domination by the Huskers AND they were getting screwed by the refs, especially right before halftime which is obviously going to help keep the edge at halftime. Taking Colorado at halftime would have been a completely idiotic square play if one had watched the first half and knows anything at all about football.
 

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Did you watch the first half of the Arizona-Arizona State game? Arizona was leading 17-5 at halftime and ASU was completely dominated too. ASU covered in the 2nd half by 15 points.

Did you watch the 1st half of the Lakers-Sonics game last night? Sonics leading by 8 at halftime and the Lakers looked clueless. The Lakers won the 2nd half by around 20 points.

Did you watch the 1st half of the Indy-Cincy game last weekend? They scored around 60 points in the 1st half and didn't even come close to the 28 point total of the 2nd half.

So if you think playing Colorado is a square play based on what you saw on TV, keep playing teams like Nebraska and trust a 17.5 point dog to lay 7.5 points.

The bottom line is:

Never lay/give a worse line (for fulltime) in your HT play than what was in the original spread - and certainly not a line that is 25 points off the original.
 

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cincy_ said:
Did you watch the first half of the Arizona-Arizona State game? Arizona was leading 17-5 at halftime and ASU was completely dominated too. ASU covered in the 2nd half by 15 points.

Did you watch the 1st half of the Lakers-Sonics game last night? Sonics leading by 8 at halftime and the Lakers looked clueless. The Lakers won the 2nd half by around 20 points.

Did you watch the 1st half of the Indy-Cincy game last weekend? They scored around 60 points in the 1st half and didn't even come close to the 28 point total of the 2nd half.

So if you think playing Colorado is a square play based on what you saw on TV, keep playing teams like Nebraska and trust a 17.5 point dog to lay 7.5 points.

The bottom line is:

Never lay/give a worse line (for fulltime) in your HT play than what was in the original spread - and certainly not a line that is 25 points off the original.

Cannot compare NCAA foots to NBA and even the NFL in terms of value of watching the game. I did not see the first half of the Arizona game as I was busy watching every down closely of this one and if you did see it then you have no business whatsoever commenting on the flow of how this game was going and betting it blindly would have been an idiotic square play just like I had said earlier.

That being said, I GENERALLY agree with your take but would certainly not do it blindly. I am an instinct bettor that finds the best values in 2nd half wagering after watching a half. I would compare the best 2nd half wagerers to the best poker players in that you have got to have ice in your veins and trust what you see but there is good value to be had taking the dog again in the 2nd half IF and only IF they are clearly the better team that day which was obviosly the case in the CU/NU game.
 

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I do value your thoughts by the way but I am one to call a spade a spade and I have no doubt in my mind that you did not watch the first half.
 

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royalfan said:
I do value your thoughts by the way but I am one to call a spade a spade and I have no doubt in my mind that you did not watch the first half.

I watched it. I saw the first drive and saw how the Buffs drove down the field. I saw how Nebraska dominated and how they got jobbed on the two plays where the clock kept ticking from 4 to 2 and then from 2 to 0.

That being said, taking NE is still laying MORE THAN a TD. There was no doubt that Nebraska would win the game, but laying 7.5 is HUGE. Now you're asking them to win by 10 or 14 points. Not for me.

More often than not, teams with 10 to 14 point leads play a conservative offense because they lead by 2 scores. How many times do we get backdoored? In such scenarios, we're not talking about "better teams" and domination, we're talking about "garbage time" and backdoors.
 

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Like I said, I knew you didn't catch much of the first half. By the way if you call popping a 45 yard run by catching a seam a "drive" when they couldn't run the ball for a even a couple yards the rest of the half the we don't need to converse about it any longer. I just hope for your sake you made it a no play instead of a CU play as you said it has to be one or the other, as you didn't have proper opportunity to watch the first half.
 

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royalfan said:
Like I said, I knew you didn't catch much of the first half. By the way if you call popping a 45 yard run by catching a seam a "drive" when they couldn't run the ball for a even a couple yards the rest of the half the we don't need to converse about it any longer. I just hope for your sake you made it a no play instead of a CU play as you said it has to be one or the other, as you didn't have proper opportunity to watch the first half.

YAAAAAAAAWWWWWWNNNNN

If you know what I watched, I can't argue.

I guess you're one of those squares that bets every team that wins/cover Game 1 of a 7 game series to win/cover Game 2 as well.

Last post on this matter. See ya.
 

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Don't mean to cause a pissing match as once again I do respect your thoughts. You gotta keep doing what works for you over time. I don' think you are a square and I know I am not one. Good luck to you sir.
 

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... and you sound like a square who doesn't care if you're laying 2 points or 7.5 points because you saw the team dominate.

... and you sound like the square who lays points on the "better team".

Now that you're sure that I didn't watch the game, I am ABSOLUTELY SURE that you do not win at sports betting. If anyone ever capped games the way you do, they would be in deep shit.
 

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royalfan said:
Don't mean to cause a pissing match as once again I do respect your thoughts. You gotta keep doing what works for you over time. I don' think you are a square and I know I am not one. Good luck to you sir.

I said I watched the game - what else do you need? I said it didn't matter because of the 7.5 spread ... and the backdoor - yet your reply was that "you didn't watch the game" - Geez.

End of thread for me. No hard feelings. See ya and good luck this weekend.
 

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Like I said I tend to lean toward the same plays you do if a team is getting good looks and are just missing open shots or if they are moving the ball but turning it over in the red zone and so on and so forth, but if you had watched the game carefully and know anything about football you would not have played CU in the 2nd half. There was no indication whatsoever in the last 23 minutes of that first half that would lead a knowledgeable person to play CU, which is why I have assumed time and time again you didn't see much of the half as I feel you are a reasonably smart man. Although I am not going so far as to say you are a square, as I don't think you are by your past posts that I recall, but if you play all favorites in these spots blindly you will get smoked as the lines are inflated according to the true ability of the teams. I don't use mathematics, I use my ability to watch and disect a game, which is by far the biggest weapon anyone can have if the know what they are doing. Again good luck to you sir. I need to get back to rooting for the Phoenix game to go under. Huge play for me tonight on that.
 
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What a glorious beatdown. Complete & total meltdown by CU. Now Bill just needs to find out that he needs to prepare for more than one game a year.
 

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Tell me about it. The Huskers might actually be going somewhere next year. In a weak Big 12 north, it won't take too much to make it to the championship game and once you're there, history has shown that anything can happen.

I was a big critic of Solich and when UNL lost to Mizzou this year, I had really given up hope for the program - but two wins in a row and semi-decent bowl game can work wonders. Losing 18 days of practice last year (by not going to a bowl) hurt a lot, it seems - based on how the offense has progressed towards the end of the season.
 
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royalfan said:
Did you watch the first half? Complete domination by the Huskers AND they were getting screwed by the refs, especially right before halftime which is obviously going to help keep the edge at halftime. Taking Colorado at halftime would have been a completely idiotic square play if one had watched the first half and knows anything at all about football.

There are definitely 2 entirely different views of what to do in this situation. Off the top of my head, I'd venture a guess that the "losing big at half" game fav (and 2nd H fav) is in the plus long term on the 2nd H play.

Regardless, that was F'ing beautiful.
 

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