Tough to SCALP a local because he's always dealing with -110. You might try to middle him, though.
That being said I have noticed that most times I get what I think is a bad line from my local, he beats me.
Also, what makes you think locals aren't checking line movements online? They won't have Don Best, but they can just go to WSEX or something. If I can buy a computer, he can too.
My man knows what the offshore lines are - he just care because he doesn't move them on air like offshore books do.
That being said I have noticed that most times I get what I think is a bad line from my local, he beats me.
Also, what makes you think locals aren't checking line movements online? They won't have Don Best, but they can just go to WSEX or something. If I can buy a computer, he can too.
My man knows what the offshore lines are - he just care because he doesn't move them on air like offshore books do.
Cincy,
Might be a dumb question because I haven't really got into this (scalping). But the only way you could scalp vs Pinny would be to have the same line as him and have +120 juice(maybe a little less). Am I right here or am I missing something? My point is a local probably will have the least sharp lines if you are comparing to all off shore books?
Might be a dumb question because I haven't really got into this (scalping). But the only way you could scalp vs Pinny would be to have the same line as him and have +120 juice(maybe a little less). Am I right here or am I missing something? My point is a local probably will have the least sharp lines if you are comparing to all off shore books?
What is a SHARP LINE? My local had Texas -27 at 11:30 am last weekend when the rest of the world had 28' and 29. Was his line sharper? No - it's just that most people in this area liked A&M.
My local has lines that are "off" all the time, but it's only because he's trying to balance his own action and not moving lines just because Pinny or CRIS moved it like the rest of the offshore industry does. He doesn't have to check Don Best for lines - he knows what his clients are taking and he can simply move lines based on what his clients are playing.
You might be able to scalp him by selling points on Pinny, but selling points when you're not jumping on or off the 3 doesn't really help much and when the game is around 3, his lines are very close to the offshore books. You need a 30 cent swing to go from -110 to +120 and that will take 1 full point when you're around 3 - and maybe 2+ points when you have a line that is 14+.
This year the only bad line (when the spead was near 3) he gave me was in the Indy-NE game. He gave me Indy -3 and I hit it hard. He said he knew the line was higher offshore, but he didn't care because he needed people to take Indy to balance his action - being in New England everyone was taking the Pats. He could pass off action if he is overloaded on one side, but that doesn't net him any profit so he would much rather just balance the action he has.
My local has lines that are "off" all the time, but it's only because he's trying to balance his own action and not moving lines just because Pinny or CRIS moved it like the rest of the offshore industry does. He doesn't have to check Don Best for lines - he knows what his clients are taking and he can simply move lines based on what his clients are playing.
You might be able to scalp him by selling points on Pinny, but selling points when you're not jumping on or off the 3 doesn't really help much and when the game is around 3, his lines are very close to the offshore books. You need a 30 cent swing to go from -110 to +120 and that will take 1 full point when you're around 3 - and maybe 2+ points when you have a line that is 14+.
This year the only bad line (when the spead was near 3) he gave me was in the Indy-NE game. He gave me Indy -3 and I hit it hard. He said he knew the line was higher offshore, but he didn't care because he needed people to take Indy to balance his action - being in New England everyone was taking the Pats. He could pass off action if he is overloaded on one side, but that doesn't net him any profit so he would much rather just balance the action he has.
Not sure if I should have used the word sharp line. What i meant your local should have the line that is furthest away from the majority in the "industry". Correct?( due to not adjusting quick enough or not being by a computer 24/7) Most lines off shore are all the same. Not talking NFL. But wouldn't you get a ton of off lines Saturday in cbb or cfb if your local didn't check his lines after 11 am and went out for day? How far off points wise would a college hoops game have to be off from pinny to catch one? The only way this work is if you got +115 and up juice from a pinny drop down, correct?
ice man said:
You don't get it, do you?
Do you think my man is going to take $500,000 in action on Sunday but he's not going to be in his office? Do you really think he will be out golfing with his buddies?
I will explain one more time:
My man doesn't care what line Pinny is putting up. He has his own line and he will move HIS line according to the plays that he has coming in. Pinny could move their lines one way, and he will move it the other way if he needs to. It has nothing to do with being away from the computer.
Also, you can't sell points on CBB at Pinny, so you can't scalp. The best you can do is middle - and good luck middling CBB.
(My last post on this matter)
I'm talking about MY LOCAL. I have since the beginning. He is away from his computer (and yes he takes a ton of action) all the time. You don't think a 15-3 streak scalping against a local for 1k isn't going to hurt him. Some locals may not be able to get rid of all that esp in cbb. That is my point is his LINES are the most off and isn't that what you are looking for. if you don't want to answer than stay out of the thread. This is a gambling forum.
That was always my point. Local lines are usually the FURTHEST OFF due to adjustng them because of less volume and less commitment from local and just wanting balanced action (you said so yourself). My LOCALS have all paid for over 10 years because hardly anyone I know ever beats them. What's up with the attitude? I was just asking a question and trying to see if it can be done. Just not sure I agreed with you on my example (not yours). Sorry didn't mean to ruin your day.
