LSU vs. Ga prop question

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Prop bet:total lands on EXACTLY 36,37,38 or 39. Off the top of my head, I'm thinking around +700 is a fairly good number for the house side to put up. Thoughts?
 

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Fishhead said:
MERMAID.........never around when you need her.


:Guitarman

Seriously though, with the total at 40.5, off the top of my head it would appear you are way to high at +700.
 

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I think so too. After driving to the office I thought about it and it occurred to me those numbers should be much more likely since they are so close to the posted total. Here's how I pictured it: a probability curve encompassing the final score of the game 95% of the time with lower boundary 10, upper boundary 61 (arbitrary,seat-of-the pants numbers) and median of 40. Again, this is strictly a "visual" interpretation, not a calculation, but +400 to +500 seems safe. I figure the game lands on exactly those four numbers less than 1 out of 5. Any stats calculations (or opinions) on this?
 

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oops...should have said "lands on those numbers less than 1 out of 6 times"
 

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hawkeye171 said:
I think you're drinking a little too much saltwater.:drink:

You got the phone call from me....34-14 good point difference, HEE,HEE big win for GEORGIA!!!

:party: :toast: :party: :toast:
 

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