I think so too. After driving to the office I thought about it and it occurred to me those numbers should be much more likely since they are so close to the posted total. Here's how I pictured it: a probability curve encompassing the final score of the game 95% of the time with lower boundary 10, upper boundary 61 (arbitrary,seat-of-the pants numbers) and median of 40. Again, this is strictly a "visual" interpretation, not a calculation, but +400 to +500 seems safe. I figure the game lands on exactly those four numbers less than 1 out of 5. Any stats calculations (or opinions) on this?