(That's a lotta hair!!!!!!!!!!!)
How smart we all become when the favorites keep coming in one after another. It's like when the market was hot until 2000. Couldn't do anything wrong. Everyone was so smart and bragging about how their 401K's were doing....like they were responsible for the profits. But how many "sharps" bailed out when the market started going the other way? It'll come back was the war cry. But as we all know, even though the Dow Jones came back, so many were buried so deep with net stocks that disappeared into the sunset.
I am usually a contrarian like Fezz, and how my posted record stands at 57-43 YTD is beyond me. Guess I'm getting a nice mix of faves and dogs to keep me above board.
Last year we started the year the same way with the faves coming in and the home doggies weren't, but that changed in the second half of the year. However this year, the faves have continued to roar, and the home doggies keep getting beat.
You can take this for what it's worth, but in the last few years, the refs don't seem to be helping the dogs like they used to. You just don't see people bitching on sites about how the refs screwed one team or the other. Those that have been around for a while know what I mean. You just don't see the holding calls to stop a team from scoring, nor the pass interference calls that allowed a weak team to score and cover! Neither is reviewable via instant replay!
Could it also be coincidental that we have a new oddsmaker in town? Kenny White took over LVSC. It just reminds me of when Bob Martin THE bookmaker in the 60's-80's at the Union Plaza, got indicted by the Feds and was forced to give up his oddsmaking activities. Roxy took over at LVSC, and the books took it in the shorts for about two years from what I recall.
I am usually a contrarian like Fezz, and how my posted record stands at 57-43 YTD is beyond me. Guess I'm getting a nice mix of faves and dogs to keep me above board.
Last year we started the year the same way with the faves coming in and the home doggies weren't, but that changed in the second half of the year. However this year, the faves have continued to roar, and the home doggies keep getting beat.
You can take this for what it's worth, but in the last few years, the refs don't seem to be helping the dogs like they used to. You just don't see people bitching on sites about how the refs screwed one team or the other. Those that have been around for a while know what I mean. You just don't see the holding calls to stop a team from scoring, nor the pass interference calls that allowed a weak team to score and cover! Neither is reviewable via instant replay!
Could it also be coincidental that we have a new oddsmaker in town? Kenny White took over LVSC. It just reminds me of when Bob Martin THE bookmaker in the 60's-80's at the Union Plaza, got indicted by the Feds and was forced to give up his oddsmaking activities. Roxy took over at LVSC, and the books took it in the shorts for about two years from what I recall.
InncoTech said:
why not?
what % of underdogs exactly should you be betting?
you can bet only teams with blue jerseys and still win.
now if you bet teams with blue jerseys across the board, you will probably end up 50%. Same as if you bet all dogs across the board and all favs across the board - 50% long term
