Whats a better teaser? (mathmatically speaking)

CHOPTALK · Dec 13, 2005

The 3 team 10 pointers or the 4 team 13 pointers. If you threw darts at the dartboard and picked ramdom teams which one of these to teasers would net you the most money. THANKS

VaultedTreehouse · Dec 13, 2005

3 fo 10 I would think.Let the math people come in.

Dawoofdaddy · Dec 13, 2005

If you can play both sides and/or both ends of totals of 2 games, I would think the 13pt is best.

CHOPTALK · Dec 13, 2005

DAWOOFDADDY said:
If you can play both sides and/or both ends of totals of 2 games, I would think the 13pt is best.

I would think the same thing. To tell you truth I have never played a 4 team 13 point teaser. I have always been a 3 team 10 point player.

But I have lost several 3 team 10 pointers by 1 or 2 points making me consider the 4 team option in the future.

RobFunk · Dec 13, 2005

It's hard to find good juice on those monkey teasers in hoops. 3 team 8 points -120 I used to play all the time in hoops. I really dont see anything like that. I think monkey teasers in football are kind of risky, but they seem to be money in hoops. or at least they were.

billpapa · Dec 14, 2005

According to S Wong's Sharp Sports Betting book based on 1990-2000 data a team given an extra 10 points covers 78.2% of the time and pushes 1.5% of the time. Similarly, if given 13 points a team covers 84.3% and pushes .9% of the time. Assuming that pushes = losses which, I believe, is the rule most places the 10 point teaser would win 47.8% of the time and the 13 point teaser would win 50.5% of the time. That means that you need to get paid +109 for the 3 teamer and -102 to break even on each. The above is a simplistic analysis that effectively assumes that all points are equal which is certainly not the case. One would have to see what point ranges the 10 or the 13 points add for an individual teaser.