without a doubt, I beleive it (I havent played it though)....
books must get most of their action on the -1.5 +VIG scenerio's....
squares who like the idea of getting PLUS VIG for a favorite & SHARPS who like +VIG scenerios in general.....
I am sure the books have adjusted the lines accordingly & it certainly doesnt seem beyond the realm of possibility that this is a profitable angle this year.....
remember,
due to the shoot out this is the first year where they have been offering this type of line on every game.
books must get most of their action on the -1.5 +VIG scenerio's....
squares who like the idea of getting PLUS VIG for a favorite & SHARPS who like +VIG scenerios in general.....
I am sure the books have adjusted the lines accordingly & it certainly doesnt seem beyond the realm of possibility that this is a profitable angle this year.....
remember,
due to the shoot out this is the first year where they have been offering this type of line on every game.
gak555 said:
may be profitable but anyone laying that kind of wood is asking for trouble
you are asking the dog to either win (and in that case the dog on the M/L is the play) or lose by 1 and that is risky since the dog could be losing by 1 late - pull the goalie and give up an Empty netter and you are F*cked
the ONLY way to play the puckline with the prices being around $2 is the fave -1.5 - to play the dog +1.5 -220 (or whatever) is dumb. look at it this way - let's say you lose a +1.5/-220 play. you now have to win OVER 2 plays to breakeven from that -220 play or lay -1.5 @ +2 to get that money back
From a logical standoint, I agree with WD's response and that is why I am shocked that good teams as puckline dogs are winning at an unbelievable rate of 78.5% this year.
One criteria I used was simply taking teams that have cummulatively outscored their opponents over the course of the season. There are currently 17 teams that meet this criteria. One example would be the NY Rangers. They have scored 111 goals vs 89 goals for their opponents this year. Total record for the 17 teams is 167 W - 47 l as dogs on the puckline. If you layed an average of -2.00 while getting the +1 1/2 pucks you would be up about 36 units. Laying an average of -220 , you would be up over 29 units.
Never thought this approach would be profitable, but this year it has been very strong.
One criteria I used was simply taking teams that have cummulatively outscored their opponents over the course of the season. There are currently 17 teams that meet this criteria. One example would be the NY Rangers. They have scored 111 goals vs 89 goals for their opponents this year. Total record for the 17 teams is 167 W - 47 l as dogs on the puckline. If you layed an average of -2.00 while getting the +1 1/2 pucks you would be up about 36 units. Laying an average of -220 , you would be up over 29 units.
Never thought this approach would be profitable, but this year it has been very strong.
I am not talking about correlated parlay, just straight bets,
I am shocked that good teams as puckline dogs are winning at an unbelievable rate of 77.3% this year.
One criteria I used was simply taking teams that have cummulatively outscored their opponents over the course of the season. There are currently 17 teams that meet this criteria. One example would be the NY Rangers. They have scored 111 goals vs 89 goals for their opponents this year. If you never lay more than+1 1/2 - 240. Cummulative record ytd is 113 W - 33 L
Never thought this approach would be profitable, but this year it has been very strong.
If you lay an average of - 200 you would be up about 30 units. If you lay an average or -220 you would be up about 18 unit ytd.
I am shocked that good teams as puckline dogs are winning at an unbelievable rate of 77.3% this year.
One criteria I used was simply taking teams that have cummulatively outscored their opponents over the course of the season. There are currently 17 teams that meet this criteria. One example would be the NY Rangers. They have scored 111 goals vs 89 goals for their opponents this year. If you never lay more than+1 1/2 - 240. Cummulative record ytd is 113 W - 33 L
Never thought this approach would be profitable, but this year it has been very strong.
If you lay an average of - 200 you would be up about 30 units. If you lay an average or -220 you would be up about 18 unit ytd.
