Half Time Line Question

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Question for linesmakers or anyone with a thought

So many, many times, a college basketball team that is favored by 4-7 points and is winning by 12-14 at the half is a pick or favored in the 2nd half.

Have the linesmakers given in and accepted they made a bad line by making the favorite a small favorite in the 2nd half ??

Or do they really know that much about the stats in each and every game to know the dog is going to make a run in the second half but keep it around the second half number??

Just wondering - maybe I am thinking deeply because I have about 15 Mich Ultras in my system as well ??
 

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