Would books have in general balanced 2 way action for the SB

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Reading here it seemed all year the books were not balanced and were having a rough go of it. Would a Pitts cover mean possible trouble??? Would books need seatle or would it not matter as after being unbalanced al year according to what I read here, they will be balanced on SB Sunday.
 

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Most books will take heavy Pitt money. No doubt about it. Unless they shade big time to draw Seattle action.
 

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The SUPERBOWL this year should be a HUGE moneymaker for the majority of sportsbooks this year..........regardless of the outcome.

Of course, there will be that small array of sportsbooks in the offshore world that have very few customers and/or do not know how to effectively book action the proper way. For those, they could take it on the chin and is precisely why all players should tread water very lightly this time of year in these books that many would consider to be very "questionable" books.

-FISH-
 

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The number of 4 looks to get 2-way action here, IMO. There will be HUGE run of withdrawls after this game just like Always in the offshore world. TREAD lightly an reduce balance before the run hits.
 

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THEN WHY THE HELL CAN'T BOOKS KEEP BALANCED ACTION ALL THE TIME, we have computers to figure this shit out. A Book is GAMBLING as far as I am concerned if they are not balanced. ADMITTEDLY books were not during the NFL season. I hate to see that 80% of the money is on a certain side at the book. (I don't know how to read that exactly for all I know it 80% of the betters and there was a big bet on the 20% SIDde and the money was close to 50/50.

Even at 10% juice, if 53% of $$$ were on Pitts (they would owe 482.30 on 1,000 bet), the 470 bet on seatle couldn't cover it). So keeping it close is important. A major % of action is on this game and I know this isn't the only game or bet to booked that day, BUT they gambled all year and lost according to what I hear, I don't believe it, I think they are fine.
 

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5teamparlay said:
THEN WHY THE HELL CAN'T BOOKS KEEP BALANCED ACTION ALL THE TIME, we have computers to figure this shit out. A Book is GAMBLING as far as I am concerned if they are not balanced.

They dont have balanced action because they move on air.

Suppose a small book had an overload of Seattle +4 action, they SHOULD be moving the line to Seattle +3.5 and maybe even Seattle +3 (-125) if they need to - but they won't becuase they don't want to be the only book doing it- and maybe they shouldn't.

Of course, they can reduce exposure by passing off the plays to a bigger book, but that will cut down on profits - especially if they try to pass off Seattle +4 wagers after the line has moved to Seattle +3.5 across the board.
 

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AIR is the Correct word here as Most NOT all offshore joints move on Air throughout the season. Some makers want to be slighty over to one side or the other anyway.
 

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Books don't need balanced action as long as they are well funded. Books just need an edge and they get that with the juice over time. Casino's don't have balanced action, what they have is an edge. Books do not need to be any different as long as they can handle the ups&downs.


Problem is most are not well funded!!
 

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Or, IMO they should stand pat like the last 5 years and collect $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ on dogs like phillt carolina TB and NE (I), and turn a nice profit like they should.
 

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I am sure they will get more action on pit ATS, but I would think a lot of ML on Seattle. One of the few times hitting 3 may not be a bad thing for the books.
 

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Books have raked in money last two years with non-covering favorites winning knocking off the dog money line, at least in Nevada. I suspect the same situation again this year.

I heard the books did very well in balancing the action last week, but I am guessing they would be very lucky to do that in the SB. Of course the volume is so high, the range at which they wouldn't have a decision grows.
 

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The books don't really want balanced action 5team. You can't make money like that. let's face it, other than the sharps or wiseguys, who's going to take the other side when there's lopsided betting on a team? Think about it! If you like the Steelers and you wait until gameday to make you bet, but in the meanwhile the line has crept up from 4 to 6. Now while you're hemming and hawing about laying the 6 while standing in line at the book, a ton of money comes in on the Steelers and the line moves to 7. What are you going to do? Since you already have your heart on betting the Steelers, and you feel they're going to kill Seattle, you either are going to suck it up and lay the 7, or get out of line and hope the line drops back to 6. Unless your a sharp, you're not going to change your allegiance in mid stream and bet the Seahawks are you? Of course not! If it were the regular season with other games to bet, you might say the heck with it and bet another team. But since it's the only game in town, and you MUST bet it, you'll probably wind up taking a teaser for 6 or 7 points so you can get the pointspread down to where it's reasonable. The only problem is, that now you have to take the total which you may not have a feeling for at all.

Even if the books are on the wrong side, it just might be that the total is a blowout one way or the other which kills all the parlays and teasers, and this helps them balance their books with these type bets. Throw in the hundreds of proposition bets where they have a greater edge with the higher juice, and that even adds more to the bottom line. It also helps them that they don't allow parlays on prop bets so their exposure is limited.

So basically what it comes down to is that there really isn't any "evening out" as far as books are concerned. That's probably one of the biggest lies ever. The average "Joe" is either going to bet the team he likes at whatever price, take a teaser to reduce the line, or just say the heck with it and bet the total if it hasn't changed that much. He's just not going to turn around and bet the "wrong" side because the line has moved. If anything, he just might believe that one side that's moving is a steam play and jump all over it no matter what the price. That may not be logical, but when the "herd" instinct takes over there's no telling what can happen!
 

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