CHOPTALK said:
I do that too. Like in a slug it out game in the AL. Hit a bunch on Detriot when they were playing well and would be +135 at home and +255 -1.5 . Colorado games fit nice here too.
on the "ALTERNATE" run line.
I thought this was about bettting +1.5 which I don't do much. Maybe twice last year. Both times the team won outright so I won't bother with it this year.
Hey fellas! I was interested in this. I may have found something. I went back last year and looked at all the home dogs of +1.5, that the road team was favored by more than -120. I only have done the first three months of data so far, and it seems very very good.
Play home underdogs, +1.5, when the road fav is more than -120.
Results:
April: 37-21..... 64%
May: 44-32..... 58%
June: 58-37.... 61%
total for first three months of data... 139-90..... 60.1%
Now I do not know what the average price would be of a +1.5 runline dog. Lets just say it is -140. If that is the case, a $100 bettor would be up $1300 in the first three months!
Play home underdogs, +1.5, when the road fav is more than -120.
Results:
April: 37-21..... 64%
May: 44-32..... 58%
June: 58-37.... 61%
total for first three months of data... 139-90..... 60.1%
Now I do not know what the average price would be of a +1.5 runline dog. Lets just say it is -140. If that is the case, a $100 bettor would be up $1300 in the first three months!
SSI was playing a "home dog" system last year, where you would turn home favorites into dogs on the run line.
Example: Indians -125 at home, give the run line and make it -1.5 +110 or something like that.
I'm sure his posts are still in the archive somewhere.
Example: Indians -125 at home, give the run line and make it -1.5 +110 or something like that.
I'm sure his posts are still in the archive somewhere.
