Any books have Homerun props for Bonds?

the_snowkid · Feb 20, 2006

i would bet everything i own and everything i will ever own that he would not break Hanks record this year... i think he will be really really lucky to get in the lower 30's.

:money8:

earl · Feb 20, 2006

im guessing 25 is a good over/under? games played at maybe 100 for a good over/under?

Doug · Feb 20, 2006

I'd go under 10 if it was big + money.

WildBill · Feb 20, 2006

The odds on him breaking Aaron this year would have to be at least 50-1 with the number of games he might sit out. No one is going to give you much of a price on that.

Revon · Feb 20, 2006

Olympic has him 12-1 to him the most homers in the Majors.

docmercer--banned · Feb 20, 2006

Watch out ....

with McCovey and Mays surrounding him it could be a big year

Sorry .. showing my age

Doug · Feb 22, 2006

WildBill said:
The odds on him breaking Aaron this year would have to be at least 50-1 with the number of games he might sit out. No one is going to give you much of a price on that.

Up at Pinny , -460 not to break record, way off of WB's 50-1, but I don't play -460 for half a year, may take under 11, about 12-1.

the_snowkid · Feb 22, 2006

Doug said:
Up at Pinny , -460 not to break record, way off of WB's 50-1, but I don't play -460 for half a year, may take under 11, about 12-1.

if i had the money to wait the entire year i would love to put $4600 on that to win 1K. THAT IS A LOCK.

Doug · Feb 22, 2006

agree it's a good bet, but I'd only do it on credit, not post up. Too long for not enough return.

the_snowkid · Feb 22, 2006

:coke: Doug, what do u mean only on credit?

Doug · Feb 22, 2006

Settle up when bet is decided, like with a local. No book holding the money in limbo for 7 months.

the_snowkid · Feb 22, 2006

does pinny do that?

Doug · Feb 22, 2006

I think they do with certain clients, I've never used credit, but it exists. Someone else can better answer this. I don't see how you can bet huge season long fav's without credit.

Santo · Feb 22, 2006

Agree with Doug here..

Is that -460 to not break it this year, or to never break it?

Doug · Feb 22, 2006

this year

Doug · Feb 22, 2006

Ov/ un at 35.5 ( must play 80 games)

-460 moved to -527 for record

0-10 holding at +1188.

I'll have to hit under 11 for small, guy could break down real early, if not lose quick, I need long odds for long-term bets. -110 for 7 months doesn't do it for me, -500 ish , NO WAY !

Bennyshoe · Feb 22, 2006

So are people thinking under 10 is a good bet with Bonds this season?

Doug · Feb 22, 2006

under 11 actually, I'm the only one I've seen supporting it. My thought is Bonds might go one DL right from the start, just collect salary.

It's the type of bet that could fail fast, or look brilliant, but I for one will put something on it.

Look at it as a bet on Bonds breaking down for the season early. He could fail to make it out of Spring training, no games required for this to play, the way I read it.

Bennyshoe · Feb 22, 2006

Good reasoning. It doesn't have any minimum number of games he has to play so that would help. If he's claiming his knee is as bad as he's saying it he might not make it long.

Doug · Feb 23, 2006

Barry don't care, if injured as he claims ( bone to bone, no cartiledge), he may not play 1 game of regular season, if he plays bet goes down in flames ,fast !