More reasoning....
First off, it is just about certain he won't play and day after night games. No Sunday games. 6 months a year times 4 Sunday games. 24 games missed. Say another additional 15 day after night games. 39 games missed right there. Say conservatively 1 15 day stint on the DL.
That is 54 games missed. Conservatively again..say he only missed 45. So he playes in 117 games. He needs to hit 35 home runs in 117 games. One every 3.3 games. I say he can't do it.
IS