Academy Awards one week from Sunday

Presto · Feb 27, 2006

Best Actor: P.S. Hoffman @-687, H. Ledger, J. Phoenix, D. Strathairn, and T. Howard @+6350 for the longshot. Taking T. Howard

Best Actress

Best Director: A. Lee (Brokeback Mountain)@-1020, S. Spielberg (Munich), B. Miller (Capote), P. Haggis (Crash)@+2600, George Clooney. Taking P. Haggis

Best Picture: Brokeback Mountain@-416, Crash, Capote@+2700, Munich, Good Night, and Good Luck. Taking Crash @+459

Best Supporting Actor

Best Supporting Actress

Big favorite is Brokeback Mountain. If they sweep, I am screwed. I only need one winner.
I have watched Crash and Hustle and Flow. That's my bias towards T. Howard. Also read somewhere that Roger Ebert likes Crash for best picture.
I still don't know that I will actually watch the awards show. Depends on how much vodka is on hand.

VIEJODINOSAUR · Feb 27, 2006

Crash is a great movie....over some peoples heads in my opinion.

Bennyshoe · Feb 27, 2006

The only LOCK there is Ang Lee for best directory. That's why it has high juice. Unfortuantely the books have it right. I do like BM for Best picture but I've been hearing so much Crash talk lately to pull off an upset so I"m still deciding.

HPark1 · Feb 27, 2006

I think director and actor are engraved in stone. Still Oscars have been predictable the past few years and perhaps there could be some shockers but personally I doubt in those categories. But for those prices I guess why not a small shot.

Slack research has led me to believe King Kong to win Best Visual Effects is a near lock. Oly has -250 (swear I saw it in the -125/-150 a week or so back) which seems pretty fair. King Kong to prevail in Sound Editing and Sound Mixing (nice price here) could also be money. Also took a shot with Memoirs of a Geisha to take down Best Costume. This flick is also up for Original Score and Art Direction. Not sure about Original Score (BBM co-fav) but Art Direction looks nice also, highly doubt Geisha goes home empty handed.

Academy Awards one week from Sunday

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