Journeyman said:
Well does this mean K is a greater coach, since he takes these players and gets the most out of them?
Getting kids to succeed in college is very different from getting kids ready for the NBA. We see these conflicts in the minor-leagues of baseball all the time - the minor league manager tries to win games while the big league club wants their prospects to develop. The Red Sox have now told the managers of their farm teams that developing talent is what they will be graded on - not wins/losses.
So if Duke kids don't make it in the NBA, we can say that K simply doesn't develop talent, but you can't blame him for it because he's not a farm club - he is paid to win games for Duke.
Think of any pro-sports team - now give them 5 of the top ten draft picks EVERY year. They will be what Duke is getting.
These days, USC is to college football what Duke is to basketball. I heard Carroll once say that their problem is not in trying to get a recruit to commit, but in getting the BEST 25 recruits from the pool of hundreds of players who are dying to go to USC.
That is college coaches can't succeed in the pro level. Rick Pitino was used to getting 3-4 Top 25 recruits every year at UK. He goes to the Celtics and now he's getting 1 out of 30 draft picks.
Winning on an even playing field is a lot more difficult than it seems.