Betting the Big Dance

CharlieMaxwell · Mar 6, 2006

There are seven additional handicapping and betting factors that distinguish the 'Big Dance' from the collegiate hardwood regular season. Read about them in David Scott's latest column by going to the RX home page at www.therx.com

Charlie

:modemman:

wilheim · Mar 6, 2006

Big Dance betting.

When I look at single digit pointspread games I always try to figure out the winner on the floor before I bet. I will lay single digits but never take them. I like dogs on the money line because of the despartion foul factor at the end. Taking 4,5 or 6 points etc. often times ends up badly if your side doesn't win the game outright.

wil..

Sugarbear · Mar 6, 2006

Thats a good point Wil.

Labeeb · Mar 6, 2006

I think I asked this last year, and didn't really get much of a response.

In looking at tournament games (NCAA or conference) do we see a higher average total given that teams are more likely to foul right down to the last seconds as opposed to regular season games where teams may be more apt to give up easier? Does anyone have a large reaching database of CBB games?

I only bet totals and have been looking for a way to tweak my formulas based on this knowledge.

Labeeb · Mar 6, 2006

Anyone?

Should I just start cutting and pasting all of the results from covers?

D2bets · Mar 6, 2006

wilheim said:
When I look at single digit pointspread games I always try to figure out the winner on the floor before I bet. I will lay single digits but never take them. I like dogs on the money line because of the despartion foul factor at the end. Taking 4,5 or 6 points etc. often times ends up badly if your side doesn't win the game outright.

wil..

Don't really think this is good advice. March Madness is made for fanstastic finishes. Always happens, and a lot of them. Figure that the dog covers almost every one of those games. There's normally better value in the dog spread than ML. Usually, not always.

Insiders · Mar 6, 2006

D2bets said:
Don't really think this is good advice. March Madness is made for fanstastic finishes. Always happens, and a lot of them. Figure that the dog covers almost every one of those games. There's normally better value in the dog spread than ML. Usually, not always.

Well said.

Someone posted the last 8 years of the NCAA stats in the cbb forum. It was a GREAT read, naturally the Doggies got there at a very high %, even the double digit doggies!
Very difficult to lay anything in the tourney as they are ALL on strange court.
Interesed to see this years final post, favorites to dogs winners ! SU and agaisnt the spread.

jwunderdog · Mar 7, 2006

Article is interesting but there is a mistake. St Marys, Niagara and UL LAff all have had power ratings throughout the last several years the entire regular season, makes me wonder how much of an expert the writer is when it comes to NCAA BBALL. :icon_conf