If you're following RX cappers....

be sure to set a stop-loss. There are a lot of great cappers here at the Rx. But even the best of them go through some wicked bad streaks. That's totally normal. Unfortunately, people start to follow cappers after they've been hot for a while, which is probably the worst time to start following someone.

Cults tend to develop around certain cappers. But you've got to think of them as stocks, not "people." (No disrespect intended to anyone, I'm just talking about making money here). If you follow anyone or anything blindly, no matter how great it's worked in the past, you can go down, down, down--until you're ruined. It WILL happen, eventually.

Pick a solid capper. Set a stop-loss. Play. If that capper is successful set a higher stop-loss. If that capper loses and hits your stop-loss, STOP. Set a re-entry point. The point is to ride hot streaks.

And there are some great hot streaks. Micelli (or he who shall not be named) has had one of the most--no, the most amazing--hot steak that I've ever ridden. He's been losing lately (no surprise after all that success), but he still hasn't quite reached my stop-loss. When and if he reaches it, I'l stop betting him, set a re-entry point--and WAIT. I'll still have made an ass-kicking profit regardless.

Then there's Kapusta--a solid capper, a gentlemen, and one of the most prominent cappers on the RX. He was strong for a good long while--then tapered off for the last few weeks. If you had been tracking him, you might have set a stop-loss that he would have hit--and hopefully avoided the disasterous last couple of days (again, nothing personal, disasters are simply an unavoidable part of the game). When he starts up again, I'll personally wait till he hits my re-entry point before I start betting him. Hopefully he'll go on nice hot streak.

As for Ace-Ace, it cracks me up when people say he's going cold. He's lost a little, but after all his success, he's not really close to hitting my stop-loss. I'll still make a real nice solid profit off him even if he does hit it.

All I'm trying to say is that, if you're going to follow cappers, try to be intelligent about it. And be a bonus whore--that's good too. Follow both of these rules and you should make a little money at the very least.
:toast:

Dude, start thinking baseball. Way to late for this post. You wont find those guys in the bottom of the ninth.

I pick and choose from the top plays of the guys that I consider top cappers, and it's worked very well for me for the last couple of months. Like many others, the last few days haven't exactly been pretty. It all comes down to money management. Pick your spots & don't go overboard on any one game.

Puccini that really is great,great advice.I have followed and studied so many cappers.I have come to the conclusion that no one here at the RX is going to get you rich.They might carry you for a season,but in the long run the number and the juice will get you.Trust me when I say this;the true 2%ers do not post there picks on the RX.

ps;I'm 100% against bonus whoring.Never asked for one never received one.

KAP, ACE ACE AND GYNO....BABY PLUS I AM A BONUS WHORE.... AND A NICE LITTLE WINNER (

WE WONT EVEN MENTION THE NAME THAT LEFT THIS WORLD LOL............................... uppy:

Nice article. When you look at the month to month performace of many of these people its more like a money manager or mutual fund on a yearly basis. small gain small gain big gain small gain small loss.
A capper I follow in hockey in another sport had the follosing record this yeaar. Oct +500 Nov +600 Dec +3000 Jan +100 Feb +600.Thats on a $100 per game bet. so for smaller players 1 big month lots of grind it out.
stop loss would have been out possibly early jan as jan started off badly and then got hot later. but good idea.

Very sound advice by the thread author, very logical.

By the way I didn't mean to be disrespectful. You are right. But I doubt many blindy follow cappers here without at least some thoughts of thier own. Certainly, If you don't capp your own games, this is quite sound advice.

GREENHEAD said:

Puccini that really is great,great advice.I have followed and studied so many cappers.I have come to the conclusion that no one here at the RX is going to get you rich.They might carry you for a season,but in the long run the number and the juice will get you.Trust me when I say this;the true 2%ers do not post there picks on the RX.

ps;I'm 100% against bonus whoring.Never asked for one never received
one.

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ace-ace 3 years in the n.f.l. plus money each and every year. i believe the last 2 years he has made over 100 % profit for the year

now greenhead , give me one of your horse matchups from skybook today (if they have them )
last one was $$$$$$$

i completely disagree! you can't "ride a hot streak" no one knows when you're IN a hot streak (or cold streak)...you only know when you just COMPLETED a hot streak (or cold streak). anything can happen tomorrow. your handicapping has no memory, no different than a roulette wheel doesn't remember if the last ten spins in a row were black!

streaks are the nature of this business. if you find a long-term winning handicapper, just stick with him. anything can happen over a few dozen plays, hell, even a few hundred plays.

a true long-term win pct. takes THOUSANDS of plays to be realized, not HUNDREDS, and certainly not DOZENS...so few people realize this.

the "stop-loss" method works with stocks, but not sports betting. trust me, if you bet full-time, the day will come that you'll be down 25% of your bankroll, it WILL happen...

and for most of us the day will come when you're down 30%, 40% and for some even 50%! those days will come if you do this long enough!

that's why keeping your bet sizes small are so important, so you can ride through the "cold streaks" and survive long enough to realize your actual long-term win pct. (based on your actual handicapping skills)

you'll drive yourself nuts trying to "ride someone's hot streak"!!!

Puccini said:

be sure to set a stop-loss. There are a lot of great cappers here at the Rx. But even the best of them go through some wicked bad streaks. That's totally normal. Unfortunately, people start to follow cappers after they've been hot for a while, which is probably the worst time to start following someone.

Cults tend to develop around certain cappers. But you've got to think of them as stocks, not "people." (No disrespect intended to anyone, I'm just talking about making money here). If you follow anyone or anything blindly, no matter how great it's worked in the past, you can go down, down, down--until you're ruined. It WILL happen, eventually.

Pick a solid capper. Set a stop-loss. Play. If that capper is successful set a higher stop-loss. If that capper loses and hits your stop-loss, STOP. Set a re-entry point. The point is to ride hot streaks.

And there are some great hot streaks. Micelli (or he who shall not be named) has had one of the most--no, the most amazing--hot steak that I've ever ridden. He's been losing lately (no surprise after all that success), but he still hasn't quite reached my stop-loss. When and if he reaches it, I'l stop betting him, set a re-entry point--and WAIT. I'll still have made an ass-kicking profit regardless.

Then there's Kapusta--a solid capper, a gentlemen, and one of the most prominent cappers on the RX. He was strong for a good long while--then tapered off for the last few weeks. If you had been tracking him, you might have set a stop-loss that he would have hit--and hopefully avoided the disasterous last couple of days (again, nothing personal, disasters are simply an unavoidable part of the game). When he starts up again, I'll personally wait till he hits my re-entry point before I start betting him. Hopefully he'll go on nice hot streak.

As for Ace-Ace, it cracks me up when people say he's going cold. He's lost a little, but after all his success, he's not really close to hitting my stop-loss. I'll still make a real nice solid profit off him even if he does hit it.

All I'm trying to say is that, if you're going to follow cappers, try to be intelligent about it. And be a bonus whore--that's good too. Follow both of these rules and you should make a little money at the very least.
:toast:

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1-2-3 tops and bottoms???

Do you follow a capper on the down trend too?

treating the cappers like commodities, that is interesting.

very good advise.. they all will hit a losing streak and you have to have CONTROL of yourself when that happens

Christian said:

i completely disagree! you can't "ride a hot streak" no one knows when you're IN a hot streak (or cold streak)...you only know when you just COMPLETED a hot streak (or cold streak). anything can happen tomorrow. your handicapping has no memory, no different than a roulette wheel doesn't remember if the last ten spins in a row were black!

streaks are the nature of this business. if you find a long-term winning handicapper, just stick with him. anything can happen over a few dozen plays, hell, even a few hundred plays.

a true long-term win pct. takes THOUSANDS of plays to be realized, not HUNDREDS, and certainly not DOZENS...so few people realize this.

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My thoughts excatly!

"Sound advice, very logical, good advice" Come on, Journey & Dante!

Duckstabber said:

My thoughts excatly!

"Sound advice, very logical, good advice" Come on, Journey & Dante!

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Duckman, what I mean in to have control is ..IF the hot cappers happen to lose a play or 2 you should not double or triple down on the NEXT one to get back your loss

stay the course is all im saying!

Christian said:

i completely disagree! you can't "ride a hot streak" no one knows when you're IN a hot streak (or cold streak)...you only know when you just COMPLETED a hot streak (or cold streak). anything can happen tomorrow. your handicapping has no memory, no different than a roulette wheel doesn't remember if the last ten spins in a row were black!

streaks are the nature of this business. if you find a long-term winning handicapper, just stick with him. anything can happen over a few dozen plays, hell, even a few hundred plays.

a true long-term win pct. takes THOUSANDS of plays to be realized, not HUNDREDS, and certainly not DOZENS...so few people realize this.

the "stop-loss" method works with stocks, but not sports betting. trust me, if you bet full-time, the day will come that you'll be down 25% of your bankroll, it WILL happen...

and for most of us the day will come when you're down 30%, 40% and for some even 50%! those days will come if you do this long enough!

that's why keeping your bet sizes small are so important, so you can ride through the "cold streaks" and survive long enough to realize your actual long-term win pct. (based on your actual handicapping skills)

you'll drive yourself nuts trying to "ride someone's hot streak"!!!

Click to expand...

it's called handicapping the handicapper. I agree totally Christian. This method is tough and confusing

whether you (a handicapper) lets what happened in the past effect your present-day handicapping depends on your "handicapping maturity" level, for a lack of a better word.

if you've been doing this long enough, and have enough plays under your belts (in the thousands of plays, i'm talking about!!!)...then even if you go 40-60 over 100 plays, you're going to be "mature" enough, or "knowledgable" enough, to realize these are just temporary swings, no different than when those "hot streaks" occur and you go 65-35 over 100 plays!

you didn't become a better handicapper just because you got "hot" and went 65-35 for one particular stretch of 100 games, and you didn't become a worse handicapper just because you got "cold" and went 40-60 over a stretch of 100 plays...

as long as your doing the exact same handicapping and you're constantly researching to be sure any recent rule changes haven't outdated your methods, you're the EXACT same handicapper you were before, during and after you went "HOT" or "COLD"....damn, i even hate using those words!

anyway, trying to jump on and jump off a certain handicapper is the exact same as if you yourself do your own handicapping and you think "well, i've been losing this month, so i'm going to quit betting" or thinking "well, i've been winning this month, so i'm going to increase my bet sizes" it's the same mentality. it's not going to work!

this is a long-term grind, not a roller coaster ride you can just jump onto when it's going up and jump off as soon as it peaks and heads downward...it just won't work.

if you guys don't believe me....go ahead and try this method for the next 500-1000 plays, keep honest records and come back and tell me if you did any better than you would have just following a long-term winner through all his plays (without trying to jump on and jump off).

you're not going to make any more money and you're just going to drive yourself nuts by all the instability.

just my opinion....